Skip to content
Senzi

Forecast what startups do next.

Allocate virtual credits on measurable startup milestones and see where the community stands.

Explore markets How it works
Example · not live data Closes Dec 31

ExampleAI · An AI note-taker for small teams

Will ExampleAI reach 10,000 monthly active users by December 31?

Your side

50%

Your estimate

50%

Sample market probability

You agree with the sample market. Drag to disagree.

Try the full tutorial

Open markets

View all

How it works

From a measurable question to a checked outcome.

  1. 1

    A measurable question

    Find a startup and a YES/NO question about what it does next.

    Will ExampleAI reach 10k users by Dec 31?

  2. 2

    Check the details

    Read the deadline, what counts as YES or NO, and the sources that will settle it. No surprises at the end.

    Closes
    Dec 31
    YES if
    10,000+ MAU
    Source
    Public reports
  3. 3

    Make your forecast

    Spend virtual credits on YES or NO. Disagreeing with the crowd is how you add information.

    YES · 50NO · 25YES · 100
  4. 4

    Compare with everyone

    See your estimate next to the market probability, which reflects everyone's credits together.

    Market 52% · You 70%

  5. 5

    The market moves

    Each forecast moves the market probability, and every change is saved, so you can see how expectations shifted.

  6. 6

    Checked against the outcome

    After the deadline, two admins check the result against the original criteria and evidence, then shares pay out.

    Resolved YES · evidence attached

Try it on a practice market

Startups

View all

For forecasters

Browse startups, forecast open questions, and track how your calls hold up once outcomes are verified.

Browse markets

For VC teams

Firms can run private research studies, follow startups, and save reports, visible only to their own members.

Open Intelligence

Start forecasting

Every account starts with virtual credits. They have no cash value.

Try the tutorial