Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
79%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
67%
Set at open
1,426
1,147 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of workos.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 17,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 17,000, or if workos.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
79%
▲ 9 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:49 PM UTC | 79% | 1147 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:49 PM UTC | 78% | 1116 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:27 PM UTC | 81% | 1085 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC | 83% | 1054 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:34 AM UTC | 82% | 1023 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:16 AM UTC | 84% | 992 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC | 80% | 961 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:02 PM UTC | 77% | 930 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:12 PM UTC | 78% | 899 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:59 AM UTC | 84% | 868 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:18 AM UTC | 84% | 837 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC | 83% | 806 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:43 PM UTC | 77% | 775 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:41 PM UTC | 82% | 744 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:24 AM UTC | 82% | 713 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:12 AM UTC | 83% | 713 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC | 79% | 713 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:03 PM UTC | 86% | 682 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:28 PM UTC | 82% | 682 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:51 PM UTC | 79% | 651 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:21 AM UTC | 72% | 651 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:36 AM UTC | 73% | 620 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:21 AM UTC | 77% | 589 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC | 82% | 558 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC | 81% | 558 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:46 PM UTC | 75% | 527 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:40 AM UTC | 67% | 527 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:56 AM UTC | 55% | 527 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:03 AM UTC | 62% | 496 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 68% | 465 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:17 PM UTC | 68% | 465 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:39 PM UTC | 65% | 434 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:27 PM UTC | 64% | 403 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:25 AM UTC | 73% | 372 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC | 75% | 341 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:46 AM UTC | 66% | 341 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:35 PM UTC | 65% | 341 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:57 PM UTC | 67% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:59 AM UTC | 64% | 279 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC | 65% | 248 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:47 AM UTC | 67% | 217 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC | 75% | 186 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:48 PM UTC | 77% | 155 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:43 PM UTC | 70% | 124 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:46 AM UTC | 63% | 93 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:19 AM UTC | 67% | 62 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC | 69% | 31 |
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