Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
54%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
46%
Set at open
1,020
880 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of vercel.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 2,900 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 2,900, or if vercel.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
54%
▲ 2 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC | 54% | 880 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC | 51% | 860 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:58 PM UTC | 47% | 840 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC | 56% | 820 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:03 AM UTC | 55% | 820 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC | 52% | 800 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC | 56% | 780 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC | 53% | 780 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:03 PM UTC | 58% | 760 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:22 PM UTC | 52% | 740 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:22 AM UTC | 57% | 720 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC | 52% | 700 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:01 AM UTC | 50% | 680 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:25 PM UTC | 49% | 660 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:57 PM UTC | 50% | 640 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:57 PM UTC | 52% | 620 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:20 AM UTC | 53% | 600 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:18 AM UTC | 58% | 580 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:13 AM UTC | 59% | 580 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:46 PM UTC | 50% | 560 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:12 PM UTC | 54% | 540 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:58 PM UTC | 55% | 520 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:33 AM UTC | 57% | 500 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:15 AM UTC | 62% | 480 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:18 AM UTC | 55% | 460 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:56 AM UTC | 56% | 440 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:34 PM UTC | 53% | 420 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:32 PM UTC | 52% | 420 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:13 PM UTC | 48% | 400 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:42 AM UTC | 47% | 380 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:21 AM UTC | 46% | 360 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:50 AM UTC | 48% | 340 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 46% | 320 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:07 PM UTC | 46% | 320 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:52 PM UTC | 45% | 320 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:48 PM UTC | 53% | 300 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:02 AM UTC | 52% | 300 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC | 51% | 280 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:31 AM UTC | 51% | 260 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:24 PM UTC | 52% | 240 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:22 PM UTC | 52% | 220 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC | 50% | 220 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:37 AM UTC | 50% | 200 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC | 57% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:12 AM UTC | 42% | 160 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:22 AM UTC | 40% | 140 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC | 45% | 120 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:34 PM UTC | 39% | 100 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:23 PM UTC | 42% | 80 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:46 AM UTC | 55% | 60 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:10 AM UTC | 50% | 40 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:43 AM UTC | 52% | 20 |
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