Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
22%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
3%
Set at open
1,026
342 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 6,800,000 downloads of the vercel package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 6,800,000 downloads of vercel for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
22%
▲ 14 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:03 PM UTC | 22% | 342 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:05 PM UTC | 20% | 342 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:48 PM UTC | 22% | 342 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:25 PM UTC | 26% | 342 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:03 AM UTC | 19% | 342 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:09 AM UTC | 26% | 342 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:36 AM UTC | 23% | 342 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:56 PM UTC | 21% | 342 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:11 PM UTC | 21% | 342 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC | 22% | 324 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:47 PM UTC | 20% | 324 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:58 AM UTC | 25% | 324 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:15 AM UTC | 24% | 324 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC | 28% | 324 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC | 25% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:14 PM UTC | 26% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC | 21% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:17 PM UTC | 27% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:48 AM UTC | 26% | 306 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:28 AM UTC | 28% | 288 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:36 AM UTC | 26% | 288 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:05 AM UTC | 25% | 288 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC | 26% | 288 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:46 PM UTC | 23% | 288 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:37 PM UTC | 22% | 288 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC | 21% | 288 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:48 AM UTC | 28% | 288 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:54 AM UTC | 28% | 288 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:56 AM UTC | 27% | 270 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:16 PM UTC | 26% | 270 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:41 PM UTC | 25% | 252 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:41 PM UTC | 28% | 252 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:09 AM UTC | 24% | 252 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:45 AM UTC | 25% | 252 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:29 AM UTC | 20% | 252 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:59 AM UTC | 16% | 252 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 18% | 252 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:58 PM UTC | 18% | 252 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:19 PM UTC | 22% | 234 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:47 PM UTC | 18% | 234 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:31 AM UTC | 17% | 234 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:25 AM UTC | 22% | 216 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:30 AM UTC | 20% | 216 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:23 AM UTC | 21% | 198 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:11 PM UTC | 23% | 198 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC | 17% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC | 15% | 162 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:05 AM UTC | 17% | 162 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC | 15% | 144 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:50 AM UTC | 17% | 126 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:04 AM UTC | 17% | 108 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:44 PM UTC | 16% | 90 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:17 PM UTC | 17% | 72 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:59 PM UTC | 19% | 72 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:33 PM UTC | 20% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:47 AM UTC | 16% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:25 AM UTC | 13% | 36 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:41 AM UTC | 8% | 18 |
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