Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
46%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
4%
Set at open
1,770
1,440 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 6,000,000 downloads of the vercel package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 6,000,000 downloads of vercel for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
46%
▲ 43 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:25 PM UTC | 46% | 1440 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:56 PM UTC | 49% | 1440 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:44 PM UTC | 44% | 1410 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:23 PM UTC | 45% | 1380 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:12 AM UTC | 53% | 1350 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:44 AM UTC | 56% | 1320 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:56 AM UTC | 55% | 1320 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:57 PM UTC | 44% | 1320 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC | 48% | 1290 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC | 48% | 1290 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:37 PM UTC | 51% | 1290 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:59 AM UTC | 52% | 1260 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:18 AM UTC | 49% | 1230 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC | 50% | 1200 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:02 AM UTC | 55% | 1170 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:30 PM UTC | 47% | 1170 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:22 PM UTC | 50% | 1140 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:07 PM UTC | 45% | 1110 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:51 PM UTC | 45% | 1080 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:30 AM UTC | 48% | 1050 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:20 AM UTC | 52% | 1020 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC | 49% | 1020 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:52 PM UTC | 52% | 990 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:24 PM UTC | 54% | 960 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC | 51% | 930 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:43 PM UTC | 46% | 930 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:45 AM UTC | 45% | 900 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:51 AM UTC | 39% | 870 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC | 41% | 840 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 35% | 810 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC | 22% | 780 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC | 30% | 750 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:59 PM UTC | 19% | 720 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:07 AM UTC | 25% | 690 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC | 5% | 660 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC | 6% | 630 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC | 4% | 630 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 4% | 630 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC | 4% | 630 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:37 PM UTC | 5% | 600 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:24 PM UTC | 4% | 570 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:09 PM UTC | 5% | 540 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:31 AM UTC | 7% | 510 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:55 AM UTC | 6% | 510 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:16 AM UTC | 3% | 480 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:24 PM UTC | 3% | 450 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:36 PM UTC | 3% | 420 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC | 4% | 390 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:09 PM UTC | 5% | 360 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:44 AM UTC | 6% | 330 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:47 AM UTC | 7% | 300 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:53 AM UTC | 3% | 270 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:14 AM UTC | 4% | 240 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC | 5% | 210 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:42 PM UTC | 7% | 180 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:12 PM UTC | 9% | 150 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:06 PM UTC | 5% | 120 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:07 AM UTC | 5% | 90 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:25 AM UTC | 7% | 60 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC | 4% | 30 |
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