Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
97%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
48%
Set at open
1,044
360 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 4,700,000 downloads of the vercel package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 4,700,000 downloads of vercel for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
97%
▲ 45 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC | 97% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:29 PM UTC | 97% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:56 PM UTC | 96% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:19 PM UTC | 97% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:26 AM UTC | 97% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:56 AM UTC | 97% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:50 AM UTC | 96% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC | 97% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:01 PM UTC | 96% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:48 PM UTC | 95% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:47 PM UTC | 94% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC | 95% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:44 AM UTC | 96% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:01 AM UTC | 94% | 342 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:59 AM UTC | 92% | 342 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:03 PM UTC | 94% | 342 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:30 PM UTC | 92% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:33 PM UTC | 96% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC | 95% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:47 AM UTC | 97% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:20 AM UTC | 97% | 324 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:45 AM UTC | 97% | 324 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC | 96% | 324 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC | 96% | 324 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:25 PM UTC | 95% | 324 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC | 93% | 324 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:11 AM UTC | 91% | 324 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:56 AM UTC | 88% | 324 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:34 AM UTC | 85% | 324 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:24 PM UTC | 80% | 324 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:53 PM UTC | 73% | 306 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:37 PM UTC | 64% | 306 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:21 PM UTC | 82% | 306 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC | 75% | 288 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC | 67% | 288 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:23 AM UTC | 55% | 270 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 44% | 270 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:01 PM UTC | 44% | 270 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:50 PM UTC | 48% | 270 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC | 48% | 270 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC | 46% | 252 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:17 AM UTC | 46% | 252 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:56 AM UTC | 45% | 252 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:51 AM UTC | 51% | 234 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:55 AM UTC | 50% | 234 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:42 PM UTC | 50% | 216 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:46 PM UTC | 53% | 216 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:48 PM UTC | 52% | 198 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC | 56% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:41 AM UTC | 55% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:47 AM UTC | 50% | 162 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:52 AM UTC | 53% | 144 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC | 50% | 126 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:18 PM UTC | 49% | 108 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC | 52% | 90 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:33 AM UTC | 52% | 72 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC | 49% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:41 AM UTC | 50% | 36 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:17 AM UTC | 52% | 18 |
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