Deadline
Resolved YES
, Oct 11, 2026.
The npm downloads API reports 5,219,743 downloads for the 7 days ending 2026-10-04 (UTC), against a threshold of 4,200,000.
50%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
44%
Set at open
850
750 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 4,200,000 downloads of the vercel package in total for 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 4,200,000 downloads of vercel for 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 (UTC).
50%
▲ 2 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026, 12:48 AM UTC | 50% | 750 |
| Sep 27, 2026, 2:49 PM UTC | 50% | 750 |
| Sep 26, 2026, 10:13 PM UTC | 45% | 725 |
| Sep 26, 2026, 7:52 AM UTC | 39% | 700 |
| Sep 25, 2026, 3:18 PM UTC | 40% | 675 |
| Sep 25, 2026, 2:43 AM UTC | 44% | 650 |
| Sep 24, 2026, 6:51 AM UTC | 47% | 625 |
| Sep 23, 2026, 4:42 PM UTC | 44% | 600 |
| Sep 23, 2026, 3:42 AM UTC | 48% | 575 |
| Sep 22, 2026, 11:32 AM UTC | 50% | 550 |
| Sep 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 53% | 550 |
| Sep 21, 2026, 5:21 PM UTC | 53% | 550 |
| Sep 21, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC | 55% | 550 |
| Sep 20, 2026, 11:54 AM UTC | 53% | 525 |
| Sep 19, 2026, 11:44 PM UTC | 49% | 500 |
| Sep 19, 2026, 3:09 AM UTC | 44% | 500 |
| Sep 18, 2026, 5:25 PM UTC | 52% | 475 |
| Sep 17, 2026, 11:14 PM UTC | 50% | 450 |
| Sep 17, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC | 49% | 425 |
| Sep 16, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC | 50% | 400 |
| Sep 15, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC | 46% | 375 |
| Sep 15, 2026, 7:43 AM UTC | 43% | 350 |
| Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 39% | 325 |
| Sep 14, 2026, 4:32 PM UTC | 39% | 325 |
| Sep 14, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC | 41% | 300 |
| Sep 13, 2026, 8:28 AM UTC | 46% | 300 |
| Sep 12, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC | 47% | 275 |
| Sep 12, 2026, 2:46 AM UTC | 45% | 250 |
| Sep 11, 2026, 10:33 AM UTC | 44% | 225 |
| Sep 10, 2026, 7:15 PM UTC | 42% | 200 |
| Sep 10, 2026, 4:45 AM UTC | 39% | 175 |
| Sep 9, 2026, 12:20 PM UTC | 43% | 150 |
| Sep 9, 2026, 1:24 AM UTC | 52% | 125 |
| Sep 8, 2026, 9:18 AM UTC | 47% | 100 |
| Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 50% | 75 |
| Sep 7, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC | 50% | 75 |
| Sep 6, 2026, 11:03 PM UTC | 44% | 50 |
| Sep 6, 2026, 9:50 AM UTC | 48% | 25 |
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