Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
37%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
42%
Set at open
1,674
1,333 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of temporal.io's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 49,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 49,000, or if temporal.io is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
37%
▲ 4 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:44 PM UTC | 37% | 1333 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:17 PM UTC | 43% | 1302 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:14 PM UTC | 42% | 1271 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:57 AM UTC | 41% | 1240 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:39 AM UTC | 39% | 1240 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:44 AM UTC | 41% | 1240 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC | 39% | 1240 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:42 PM UTC | 44% | 1240 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC | 42% | 1240 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:26 PM UTC | 38% | 1209 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:48 AM UTC | 42% | 1178 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:03 AM UTC | 42% | 1147 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:51 AM UTC | 40% | 1147 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:25 AM UTC | 38% | 1116 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:07 PM UTC | 37% | 1085 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:41 PM UTC | 36% | 1054 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:21 PM UTC | 43% | 1023 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:32 AM UTC | 36% | 992 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:19 AM UTC | 37% | 961 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:47 AM UTC | 38% | 930 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:58 PM UTC | 41% | 930 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:31 PM UTC | 35% | 930 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:16 PM UTC | 43% | 899 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:40 PM UTC | 41% | 868 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:46 AM UTC | 38% | 837 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:28 AM UTC | 40% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:55 AM UTC | 43% | 775 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC | 42% | 744 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:56 PM UTC | 39% | 713 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:26 PM UTC | 38% | 682 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:21 AM UTC | 29% | 682 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:58 AM UTC | 38% | 651 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC | 34% | 620 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:56 AM UTC | 35% | 589 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 36% | 558 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:43 PM UTC | 36% | 558 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:59 PM UTC | 34% | 527 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:05 PM UTC | 38% | 527 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:35 AM UTC | 38% | 496 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:27 AM UTC | 35% | 465 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:14 AM UTC | 42% | 434 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC | 41% | 403 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:27 PM UTC | 46% | 372 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:14 PM UTC | 39% | 341 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:04 PM UTC | 41% | 341 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:25 AM UTC | 40% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC | 38% | 279 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC | 39% | 248 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:02 AM UTC | 38% | 217 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:15 PM UTC | 34% | 186 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:37 PM UTC | 44% | 155 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC | 39% | 124 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:02 AM UTC | 42% | 93 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 AM UTC | 40% | 62 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC | 33% | 31 |
Durable execution platform