Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
25%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
36%
Set at open
1,040
780 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of stripe.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 220 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 220, or if stripe.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
25%
▼ 2 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:54 PM UTC | 25% | 780 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC | 24% | 780 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:57 PM UTC | 21% | 760 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:54 AM UTC | 19% | 740 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:43 AM UTC | 26% | 720 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC | 27% | 700 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:25 AM UTC | 25% | 680 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:24 PM UTC | 24% | 660 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC | 26% | 640 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:11 PM UTC | 21% | 640 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:16 AM UTC | 28% | 640 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:13 AM UTC | 31% | 620 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:05 AM UTC | 27% | 620 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:12 PM UTC | 28% | 600 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:21 PM UTC | 26% | 580 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:11 PM UTC | 26% | 560 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:22 AM UTC | 25% | 560 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:57 AM UTC | 26% | 560 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:34 AM UTC | 18% | 540 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:05 AM UTC | 24% | 540 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC | 28% | 520 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC | 24% | 520 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC | 24% | 500 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:21 AM UTC | 18% | 480 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:39 AM UTC | 20% | 460 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:14 AM UTC | 27% | 460 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:54 PM UTC | 31% | 440 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:06 PM UTC | 27% | 420 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:16 PM UTC | 28% | 400 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:05 PM UTC | 38% | 380 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC | 40% | 360 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:42 AM UTC | 25% | 340 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:44 AM UTC | 33% | 320 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 43% | 300 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:05 PM UTC | 43% | 300 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:33 PM UTC | 35% | 280 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:34 PM UTC | 30% | 260 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:40 AM UTC | 26% | 240 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:24 AM UTC | 27% | 220 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:18 AM UTC | 28% | 200 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC | 27% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:26 PM UTC | 32% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:48 PM UTC | 34% | 160 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC | 38% | 140 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:25 AM UTC | 38% | 120 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:16 AM UTC | 28% | 120 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC | 33% | 100 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:02 PM UTC | 36% | 100 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:50 PM UTC | 34% | 80 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC | 37% | 80 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:40 AM UTC | 26% | 60 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:10 AM UTC | 30% | 40 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:33 AM UTC | 27% | 20 |
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