Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
40%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
60%
Set at open
2,139
1,457 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of sentry.io's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 91 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 91, or if sentry.io is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
40%
▼ 11 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:17 PM UTC | 40% | 1457 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:17 PM UTC | 50% | 1457 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:12 PM UTC | 37% | 1426 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:14 PM UTC | 45% | 1426 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:43 AM UTC | 42% | 1426 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC | 43% | 1426 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:17 AM UTC | 39% | 1426 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC | 39% | 1426 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC | 36% | 1426 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:55 PM UTC | 49% | 1426 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC | 44% | 1426 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:52 PM UTC | 41% | 1395 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:03 PM UTC | 44% | 1395 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:06 AM UTC | 52% | 1364 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:30 AM UTC | 52% | 1333 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:48 AM UTC | 40% | 1302 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:12 AM UTC | 47% | 1271 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC | 46% | 1240 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:34 PM UTC | 39% | 1209 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC | 44% | 1209 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC | 42% | 1209 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:45 PM UTC | 51% | 1178 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:48 AM UTC | 42% | 1147 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:13 AM UTC | 43% | 1147 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:49 AM UTC | 45% | 1116 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:52 AM UTC | 47% | 1085 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:34 PM UTC | 40% | 1054 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:40 PM UTC | 50% | 1023 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC | 46% | 992 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:09 PM UTC | 53% | 992 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:34 AM UTC | 47% | 992 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC | 48% | 961 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC | 50% | 961 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:07 AM UTC | 40% | 930 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:58 PM UTC | 53% | 899 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC | 54% | 899 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:58 PM UTC | 56% | 868 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:49 PM UTC | 52% | 868 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:45 PM UTC | 57% | 837 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:43 AM UTC | 51% | 837 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:22 AM UTC | 60% | 806 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:18 AM UTC | 52% | 775 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:14 AM UTC | 45% | 744 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 58% | 713 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:24 PM UTC | 58% | 713 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:42 PM UTC | 55% | 682 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:14 PM UTC | 57% | 651 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:58 PM UTC | 52% | 620 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:16 PM UTC | 50% | 589 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:09 AM UTC | 53% | 558 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:37 AM UTC | 49% | 527 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC | 46% | 496 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:22 AM UTC | 58% | 496 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:51 PM UTC | 54% | 465 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:26 PM UTC | 48% | 434 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:29 PM UTC | 49% | 434 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:41 PM UTC | 51% | 403 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:34 AM UTC | 58% | 403 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:39 AM UTC | 56% | 372 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:20 AM UTC | 53% | 341 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:03 AM UTC | 56% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:12 AM UTC | 69% | 279 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:14 PM UTC | 59% | 248 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:16 PM UTC | 59% | 217 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:26 PM UTC | 62% | 186 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC | 50% | 155 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:28 AM UTC | 60% | 124 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:56 AM UTC | 51% | 93 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:30 AM UTC | 50% | 62 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:55 AM UTC | 52% | 31 |
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