Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
47%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
48%
Set at open
1,674
1,161 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of resend.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 16,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 16,000, or if resend.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
47%
▲ 3 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:44 PM UTC | 47% | 1161 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:07 PM UTC | 56% | 1161 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:20 PM UTC | 64% | 1161 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:27 PM UTC | 59% | 1134 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC | 54% | 1107 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC | 55% | 1080 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:53 AM UTC | 56% | 1053 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:54 AM UTC | 50% | 1026 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:06 PM UTC | 53% | 999 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:58 PM UTC | 56% | 999 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:14 PM UTC | 54% | 972 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:56 PM UTC | 48% | 945 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:27 AM UTC | 47% | 945 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:56 AM UTC | 44% | 945 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC | 55% | 945 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:06 AM UTC | 53% | 918 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:05 PM UTC | 53% | 918 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:02 PM UTC | 55% | 891 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:44 PM UTC | 56% | 864 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:07 PM UTC | 60% | 837 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:34 AM UTC | 58% | 837 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC | 45% | 810 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:07 AM UTC | 47% | 783 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:05 AM UTC | 49% | 783 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:04 PM UTC | 51% | 756 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:57 PM UTC | 50% | 756 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:56 PM UTC | 55% | 756 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:21 AM UTC | 40% | 756 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC | 45% | 756 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:17 AM UTC | 42% | 729 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC | 54% | 702 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:25 PM UTC | 55% | 675 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:21 PM UTC | 50% | 648 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:05 PM UTC | 51% | 621 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC | 54% | 594 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:59 AM UTC | 53% | 567 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:26 AM UTC | 54% | 567 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:47 AM UTC | 54% | 567 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:48 AM UTC | 59% | 540 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 51% | 513 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:26 PM UTC | 51% | 513 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:01 PM UTC | 46% | 486 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:19 PM UTC | 44% | 459 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC | 44% | 432 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC | 49% | 432 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:12 AM UTC | 51% | 405 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:15 AM UTC | 54% | 378 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:40 AM UTC | 45% | 351 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:39 PM UTC | 46% | 351 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC | 46% | 351 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:43 PM UTC | 50% | 351 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:09 PM UTC | 45% | 324 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:29 AM UTC | 45% | 297 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC | 51% | 270 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:10 AM UTC | 48% | 243 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:24 PM UTC | 49% | 216 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:03 PM UTC | 59% | 189 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:05 PM UTC | 52% | 162 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:13 PM UTC | 50% | 135 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:37 AM UTC | 53% | 108 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:49 AM UTC | 49% | 81 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:31 AM UTC | 47% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:45 AM UTC | 43% | 27 |
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