Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
30%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
60%
Set at open
1,738
1,276 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of posthog.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 2,100 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 2,100, or if posthog.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
30%
▼ 14 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC | 30% | 1276 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:20 PM UTC | 28% | 1254 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:11 PM UTC | 34% | 1232 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:19 PM UTC | 29% | 1232 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:17 PM UTC | 33% | 1210 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:17 AM UTC | 33% | 1188 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:26 AM UTC | 35% | 1166 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:02 AM UTC | 34% | 1166 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:07 AM UTC | 45% | 1144 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:17 AM UTC | 43% | 1122 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:18 PM UTC | 37% | 1100 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:05 PM UTC | 39% | 1100 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:36 PM UTC | 36% | 1078 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:14 PM UTC | 33% | 1056 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:24 PM UTC | 31% | 1056 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:41 AM UTC | 41% | 1056 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:06 AM UTC | 39% | 1034 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC | 40% | 1012 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:11 AM UTC | 33% | 1012 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:22 AM UTC | 32% | 990 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC | 30% | 990 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:07 PM UTC | 31% | 990 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:17 PM UTC | 34% | 968 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC | 40% | 968 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC | 39% | 946 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:13 AM UTC | 31% | 924 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:59 AM UTC | 40% | 924 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:40 AM UTC | 39% | 902 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:01 AM UTC | 28% | 880 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:21 AM UTC | 26% | 880 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:57 PM UTC | 27% | 858 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:42 PM UTC | 36% | 836 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:36 PM UTC | 39% | 814 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:34 PM UTC | 33% | 792 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:12 PM UTC | 28% | 770 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:27 AM UTC | 37% | 770 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:39 AM UTC | 27% | 770 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:48 AM UTC | 31% | 748 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:09 AM UTC | 33% | 748 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:27 AM UTC | 29% | 726 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:44 PM UTC | 31% | 726 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:43 PM UTC | 36% | 726 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:56 PM UTC | 46% | 704 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:09 PM UTC | 38% | 682 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC | 40% | 682 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:37 AM UTC | 35% | 660 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:50 AM UTC | 48% | 638 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:55 AM UTC | 51% | 638 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:50 AM UTC | 50% | 616 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:29 AM UTC | 52% | 594 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 51% | 572 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:07 PM UTC | 51% | 572 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:19 PM UTC | 50% | 550 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:36 PM UTC | 51% | 528 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:09 PM UTC | 50% | 506 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:27 AM UTC | 48% | 484 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:03 AM UTC | 40% | 462 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:32 AM UTC | 40% | 462 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:57 AM UTC | 39% | 440 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:06 AM UTC | 41% | 440 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC | 54% | 418 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:19 PM UTC | 55% | 396 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC | 48% | 374 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:16 PM UTC | 44% | 352 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:36 PM UTC | 50% | 330 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:25 AM UTC | 49% | 308 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:47 AM UTC | 42% | 286 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:21 AM UTC | 43% | 264 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:09 AM UTC | 49% | 242 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC | 45% | 220 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC | 43% | 198 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:34 PM UTC | 44% | 176 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:49 PM UTC | 51% | 176 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:10 PM UTC | 55% | 154 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:22 PM UTC | 50% | 132 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC | 52% | 110 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC | 53% | 88 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:31 AM UTC | 53% | 66 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:48 AM UTC | 52% | 44 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:12 AM UTC | 44% | 22 |
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