Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
66%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
34%
Set at open
1,836
1,458 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 22,000,000 downloads of the posthog-js package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 22,000,000 downloads of posthog-js for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
66%
▲ 38 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:59 PM UTC | 66% | 1458 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:22 PM UTC | 63% | 1431 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:47 PM UTC | 63% | 1404 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC | 62% | 1404 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:03 PM UTC | 62% | 1377 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:28 AM UTC | 60% | 1377 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:05 AM UTC | 56% | 1350 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC | 59% | 1323 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:42 AM UTC | 60% | 1296 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:54 PM UTC | 65% | 1296 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:35 PM UTC | 69% | 1269 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:17 PM UTC | 70% | 1242 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:49 PM UTC | 64% | 1215 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC | 59% | 1215 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:10 AM UTC | 68% | 1188 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:35 AM UTC | 64% | 1161 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC | 61% | 1134 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:03 PM UTC | 61% | 1107 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:04 PM UTC | 60% | 1107 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:24 PM UTC | 53% | 1080 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:16 PM UTC | 57% | 1053 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:17 AM UTC | 59% | 1026 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:48 AM UTC | 56% | 999 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC | 63% | 972 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:55 AM UTC | 60% | 945 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:02 AM UTC | 63% | 918 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:54 PM UTC | 65% | 918 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:09 PM UTC | 60% | 891 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:49 PM UTC | 64% | 891 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:45 PM UTC | 64% | 864 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:42 AM UTC | 57% | 837 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:50 AM UTC | 53% | 837 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:27 AM UTC | 61% | 810 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:19 AM UTC | 59% | 783 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:37 PM UTC | 55% | 756 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC | 47% | 729 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:46 PM UTC | 39% | 702 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:58 PM UTC | 27% | 702 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:14 PM UTC | 32% | 702 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:25 AM UTC | 36% | 675 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:11 AM UTC | 38% | 675 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:07 AM UTC | 26% | 648 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:43 AM UTC | 26% | 621 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 22% | 594 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:02 PM UTC | 22% | 594 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:48 PM UTC | 22% | 594 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:29 PM UTC | 19% | 594 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:31 PM UTC | 20% | 567 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:40 AM UTC | 23% | 567 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:11 AM UTC | 22% | 540 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:32 AM UTC | 26% | 513 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:39 AM UTC | 27% | 486 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:04 PM UTC | 27% | 459 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:02 PM UTC | 25% | 432 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:46 PM UTC | 21% | 405 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:51 PM UTC | 24% | 378 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:48 AM UTC | 21% | 351 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:45 AM UTC | 25% | 324 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC | 30% | 297 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:24 AM UTC | 22% | 270 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC | 25% | 243 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:36 PM UTC | 30% | 216 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:29 PM UTC | 30% | 189 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:42 PM UTC | 30% | 162 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:00 PM UTC | 32% | 135 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC | 29% | 108 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:47 AM UTC | 28% | 81 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:14 AM UTC | 24% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:03 AM UTC | 28% | 27 |
Open source product analytics