Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
92%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
60%
Set at open
1,638
1,326 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 19,000,000 downloads of the posthog-js package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 19,000,000 downloads of posthog-js for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
92%
▲ 35 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026, 1:03 AM UTC | 92% | 1326 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:44 PM UTC | 92% | 1300 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC | 93% | 1274 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:17 PM UTC | 94% | 1274 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:42 PM UTC | 93% | 1248 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:35 AM UTC | 91% | 1248 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:14 AM UTC | 90% | 1222 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:29 AM UTC | 88% | 1196 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:54 AM UTC | 85% | 1196 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:22 PM UTC | 82% | 1170 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:34 PM UTC | 91% | 1170 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:03 PM UTC | 91% | 1144 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:34 PM UTC | 91% | 1118 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:31 AM UTC | 89% | 1092 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:27 AM UTC | 91% | 1066 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:16 AM UTC | 89% | 1040 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:12 AM UTC | 87% | 1014 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:20 PM UTC | 85% | 1014 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:39 PM UTC | 82% | 988 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:14 PM UTC | 93% | 962 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:39 PM UTC | 92% | 936 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:33 AM UTC | 90% | 936 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:43 AM UTC | 89% | 910 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:31 AM UTC | 87% | 884 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC | 87% | 858 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:15 PM UTC | 84% | 832 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:57 PM UTC | 81% | 832 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:41 PM UTC | 85% | 832 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:33 AM UTC | 83% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:18 AM UTC | 80% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:18 AM UTC | 80% | 780 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:19 AM UTC | 76% | 754 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:27 PM UTC | 71% | 728 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:44 PM UTC | 66% | 728 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:33 PM UTC | 59% | 702 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:21 PM UTC | 67% | 676 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:06 AM UTC | 61% | 650 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:14 AM UTC | 62% | 624 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:53 AM UTC | 63% | 598 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:46 AM UTC | 62% | 598 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 58% | 572 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:40 PM UTC | 58% | 572 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:26 PM UTC | 55% | 546 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:44 PM UTC | 59% | 520 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:28 PM UTC | 70% | 494 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:04 AM UTC | 68% | 468 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:31 AM UTC | 68% | 442 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:19 AM UTC | 67% | 416 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:36 AM UTC | 60% | 390 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:13 PM UTC | 60% | 364 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:42 PM UTC | 67% | 338 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:14 PM UTC | 62% | 312 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:21 AM UTC | 55% | 286 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC | 55% | 260 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:39 AM UTC | 61% | 234 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:51 AM UTC | 67% | 208 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:38 PM UTC | 66% | 182 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC | 64% | 156 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:49 PM UTC | 60% | 130 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:27 PM UTC | 64% | 130 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:58 AM UTC | 65% | 104 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC | 59% | 78 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:27 AM UTC | 64% | 52 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC | 57% | 26 |
Open source product analytics