Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
28%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
52%
Set at open
1,269
999 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of plaid.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 11,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 11,000, or if plaid.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
28%
▼ 18 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:31 PM UTC | 28% | 999 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:18 PM UTC | 25% | 972 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:09 PM UTC | 27% | 972 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC | 30% | 972 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:55 AM UTC | 36% | 945 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:25 AM UTC | 24% | 918 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:37 PM UTC | 28% | 918 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:56 PM UTC | 27% | 891 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:09 PM UTC | 27% | 864 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC | 27% | 837 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:25 AM UTC | 31% | 810 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC | 28% | 810 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:13 PM UTC | 34% | 783 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:02 PM UTC | 31% | 756 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC | 33% | 729 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC | 31% | 702 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:32 AM UTC | 27% | 675 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:14 AM UTC | 23% | 648 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:09 PM UTC | 25% | 621 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC | 27% | 594 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:07 PM UTC | 36% | 594 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:55 AM UTC | 38% | 594 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:11 AM UTC | 36% | 594 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:48 PM UTC | 39% | 567 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:19 PM UTC | 37% | 540 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:44 PM UTC | 32% | 513 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:36 AM UTC | 43% | 513 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC | 45% | 513 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:21 AM UTC | 47% | 486 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 39% | 459 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC | 39% | 459 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:18 PM UTC | 40% | 432 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC | 43% | 405 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:49 AM UTC | 46% | 378 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:09 AM UTC | 49% | 351 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:41 AM UTC | 43% | 324 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC | 46% | 297 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC | 42% | 270 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:58 PM UTC | 42% | 243 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:21 AM UTC | 38% | 243 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:37 AM UTC | 43% | 216 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC | 44% | 189 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC | 48% | 162 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:15 PM UTC | 42% | 135 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:02 PM UTC | 38% | 108 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:52 AM UTC | 37% | 81 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:04 AM UTC | 42% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:34 AM UTC | 47% | 27 |
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