Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
47%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
59%
Set at open
1,586
1,248 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of openrouter.ai's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 3,800 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 3,800, or if openrouter.ai is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
47%
▼ 21 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC | 47% | 1248 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC | 54% | 1222 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC | 46% | 1222 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:52 PM UTC | 51% | 1196 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:20 AM UTC | 45% | 1196 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:05 AM UTC | 45% | 1170 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:26 AM UTC | 58% | 1144 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:44 AM UTC | 51% | 1144 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:25 PM UTC | 55% | 1118 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:42 PM UTC | 60% | 1092 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:06 PM UTC | 60% | 1066 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:42 PM UTC | 54% | 1040 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:42 AM UTC | 49% | 1014 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:43 AM UTC | 51% | 988 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC | 53% | 988 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:43 PM UTC | 52% | 988 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:48 PM UTC | 56% | 962 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:54 PM UTC | 54% | 962 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:02 PM UTC | 50% | 936 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:53 AM UTC | 46% | 910 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:15 AM UTC | 50% | 884 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:55 AM UTC | 56% | 858 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:48 AM UTC | 51% | 832 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:12 PM UTC | 61% | 832 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC | 48% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC | 47% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:23 PM UTC | 46% | 780 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:25 AM UTC | 43% | 754 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:15 AM UTC | 49% | 728 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC | 56% | 702 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC | 55% | 676 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:05 PM UTC | 52% | 676 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:16 PM UTC | 51% | 650 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:22 PM UTC | 48% | 650 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:21 AM UTC | 57% | 624 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC | 51% | 598 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC | 63% | 572 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:44 AM UTC | 59% | 546 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 59% | 546 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:46 PM UTC | 59% | 546 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:29 PM UTC | 66% | 520 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:16 PM UTC | 64% | 494 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC | 63% | 468 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:43 AM UTC | 64% | 442 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:24 AM UTC | 57% | 416 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:54 AM UTC | 64% | 390 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC | 69% | 364 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:22 PM UTC | 70% | 364 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:01 PM UTC | 63% | 338 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:35 PM UTC | 67% | 338 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:51 PM UTC | 63% | 312 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:17 AM UTC | 57% | 286 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:24 AM UTC | 60% | 260 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:28 AM UTC | 58% | 234 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC | 63% | 208 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC | 56% | 182 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC | 66% | 156 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:52 PM UTC | 68% | 130 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:37 AM UTC | 62% | 104 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:22 AM UTC | 71% | 78 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:35 AM UTC | 72% | 52 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:16 AM UTC | 68% | 26 |
One API for many AI models