Deadline (Closes in 24 days)
43%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
41%
Set at open
228
190 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if OpenAI's public job board (ashby) lists at least 860 open postings when checked on 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if it lists fewer than 860 open postings when checked on 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
43%
▼ 7 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026, 12:29 AM UTC | 43% | 190 |
| Oct 11, 2026, 12:07 AM UTC | 50% | 190 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC | 51% | 171 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:29 PM UTC | 44% | 171 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:11 PM UTC | 50% | 152 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:51 PM UTC | 46% | 133 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC | 33% | 114 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:12 PM UTC | 42% | 95 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:51 PM UTC | 42% | 76 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:27 PM UTC | 48% | 57 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:05 PM UTC | 51% | 38 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:46 PM UTC | 50% | 19 |
AI research and deployment