Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
28%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
7%
Set at open
1,705
589 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 66,000,000 downloads of the openai package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 66,000,000 downloads of openai for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
28%
▲ 20 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:51 PM UTC | 28% | 589 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:48 PM UTC | 28% | 589 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:12 PM UTC | 29% | 589 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:52 PM UTC | 35% | 589 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:31 AM UTC | 32% | 589 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:33 AM UTC | 29% | 589 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:26 AM UTC | 28% | 589 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:25 PM UTC | 33% | 589 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:43 PM UTC | 30% | 589 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:07 PM UTC | 32% | 589 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:28 AM UTC | 31% | 589 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:35 AM UTC | 28% | 589 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:42 AM UTC | 32% | 589 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:57 AM UTC | 27% | 589 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:35 PM UTC | 29% | 589 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:28 PM UTC | 33% | 589 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:39 PM UTC | 34% | 589 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:37 AM UTC | 33% | 589 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:29 AM UTC | 39% | 558 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:15 AM UTC | 35% | 558 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:16 AM UTC | 27% | 558 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:04 PM UTC | 26% | 558 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:12 PM UTC | 27% | 558 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:06 PM UTC | 27% | 558 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:57 AM UTC | 32% | 558 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC | 30% | 558 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC | 31% | 558 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:50 AM UTC | 28% | 527 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:14 PM UTC | 14% | 527 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC | 16% | 496 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:26 PM UTC | 16% | 496 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:56 AM UTC | 16% | 496 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC | 15% | 496 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:56 AM UTC | 18% | 465 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:35 AM UTC | 15% | 434 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 14% | 403 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:12 PM UTC | 14% | 403 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:33 PM UTC | 15% | 372 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:16 PM UTC | 13% | 341 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:39 AM UTC | 13% | 341 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:54 AM UTC | 15% | 310 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:01 AM UTC | 14% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:49 PM UTC | 14% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:58 PM UTC | 12% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:12 PM UTC | 13% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:11 PM UTC | 15% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:02 AM UTC | 15% | 279 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:26 AM UTC | 12% | 279 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:54 AM UTC | 15% | 248 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:11 PM UTC | 15% | 217 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:06 PM UTC | 18% | 186 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:28 PM UTC | 13% | 155 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:06 PM UTC | 13% | 124 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:03 AM UTC | 9% | 93 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:50 AM UTC | 9% | 62 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:41 AM UTC | 8% | 31 |
Credits settled
AI research and deployment