Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
69%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
26%
Set at open
1,134
918 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 58,000,000 downloads of the openai package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 58,000,000 downloads of openai for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
69%
▲ 32 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:11 PM UTC | 69% | 918 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:07 PM UTC | 63% | 918 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:43 PM UTC | 65% | 900 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:26 PM UTC | 66% | 882 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:34 AM UTC | 70% | 882 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:59 AM UTC | 70% | 864 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:51 AM UTC | 74% | 846 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:14 AM UTC | 71% | 828 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:43 PM UTC | 73% | 828 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:59 PM UTC | 75% | 810 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:44 PM UTC | 70% | 810 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:14 PM UTC | 70% | 792 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:57 AM UTC | 65% | 774 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:59 AM UTC | 71% | 756 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:34 AM UTC | 67% | 756 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC | 71% | 738 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:35 PM UTC | 72% | 720 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC | 66% | 702 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:43 PM UTC | 70% | 702 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:35 PM UTC | 70% | 684 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:07 AM UTC | 73% | 666 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:27 AM UTC | 76% | 666 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:44 AM UTC | 72% | 666 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:09 AM UTC | 72% | 666 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:21 PM UTC | 67% | 648 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:37 PM UTC | 74% | 630 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:56 PM UTC | 68% | 612 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:41 PM UTC | 62% | 612 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:11 AM UTC | 58% | 594 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:02 AM UTC | 69% | 594 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:11 AM UTC | 63% | 576 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:52 AM UTC | 63% | 558 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:10 PM UTC | 57% | 540 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:36 PM UTC | 50% | 522 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:44 PM UTC | 40% | 504 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC | 29% | 486 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC | 34% | 468 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:42 AM UTC | 41% | 450 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:49 AM UTC | 30% | 432 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 35% | 414 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC | 35% | 414 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:37 PM UTC | 29% | 414 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:41 PM UTC | 32% | 396 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC | 36% | 378 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:59 AM UTC | 34% | 360 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:06 AM UTC | 27% | 342 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:26 AM UTC | 31% | 324 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:05 AM UTC | 37% | 306 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:05 PM UTC | 38% | 288 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:33 PM UTC | 38% | 270 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:17 PM UTC | 30% | 252 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:41 PM UTC | 32% | 234 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:34 AM UTC | 37% | 216 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:43 AM UTC | 30% | 198 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:48 AM UTC | 33% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:47 AM UTC | 30% | 162 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:31 PM UTC | 29% | 144 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:36 PM UTC | 30% | 126 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:39 PM UTC | 36% | 108 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:12 PM UTC | 33% | 90 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:56 AM UTC | 33% | 72 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:51 AM UTC | 39% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC | 31% | 36 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:17 AM UTC | 37% | 18 |
AI research and deployment