Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
83%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
45%
Set at open
1,664
1,326 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 51,000,000 downloads of the openai package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 51,000,000 downloads of openai for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
83%
▲ 36 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:04 PM UTC | 83% | 1326 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:02 PM UTC | 81% | 1326 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:00 PM UTC | 85% | 1326 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:11 PM UTC | 90% | 1300 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:09 AM UTC | 88% | 1274 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:59 AM UTC | 86% | 1248 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:17 AM UTC | 83% | 1248 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:36 AM UTC | 80% | 1222 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:13 PM UTC | 76% | 1222 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:26 PM UTC | 81% | 1196 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:27 PM UTC | 80% | 1170 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:14 PM UTC | 83% | 1144 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:02 AM UTC | 81% | 1118 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:35 AM UTC | 77% | 1092 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC | 72% | 1066 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:16 AM UTC | 81% | 1040 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:37 PM UTC | 78% | 1014 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:36 PM UTC | 77% | 988 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:12 PM UTC | 77% | 962 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:46 PM UTC | 79% | 936 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:30 AM UTC | 78% | 910 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:09 AM UTC | 82% | 884 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC | 82% | 858 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:39 AM UTC | 81% | 858 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:24 PM UTC | 78% | 832 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:34 PM UTC | 76% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:48 PM UTC | 81% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC | 77% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:05 AM UTC | 73% | 780 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:44 AM UTC | 80% | 754 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:30 AM UTC | 77% | 728 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:22 AM UTC | 72% | 728 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:19 PM UTC | 68% | 728 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:26 PM UTC | 62% | 702 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:28 PM UTC | 54% | 702 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:56 PM UTC | 45% | 676 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:28 AM UTC | 42% | 650 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:41 AM UTC | 49% | 650 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:28 AM UTC | 50% | 624 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC | 48% | 624 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 51% | 598 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:21 PM UTC | 51% | 598 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:42 PM UTC | 49% | 572 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:51 PM UTC | 43% | 546 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC | 48% | 520 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:02 AM UTC | 51% | 494 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:02 AM UTC | 49% | 468 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:06 AM UTC | 46% | 442 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:20 AM UTC | 42% | 416 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:53 PM UTC | 44% | 390 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC | 45% | 364 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:16 PM UTC | 46% | 338 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC | 48% | 312 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:07 AM UTC | 50% | 286 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:20 AM UTC | 53% | 260 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC | 47% | 260 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:55 AM UTC | 49% | 234 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:48 PM UTC | 51% | 208 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:21 PM UTC | 48% | 182 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:30 PM UTC | 47% | 156 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:46 PM UTC | 45% | 130 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:26 AM UTC | 44% | 104 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:37 AM UTC | 49% | 78 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:16 AM UTC | 47% | 52 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:36 AM UTC | 47% | 26 |
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