Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
90%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
76%
Set at open
1,479
551 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 46,000,000 downloads of the openai package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 46,000,000 downloads of openai for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
90%
▲ 25 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:27 PM UTC | 90% | 551 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:33 PM UTC | 88% | 551 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC | 86% | 551 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:58 AM UTC | 84% | 551 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:26 AM UTC | 86% | 551 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:26 AM UTC | 86% | 551 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC | 83% | 522 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:52 PM UTC | 89% | 522 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:42 PM UTC | 87% | 522 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:21 PM UTC | 89% | 522 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:18 AM UTC | 88% | 522 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:21 AM UTC | 85% | 522 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:57 AM UTC | 90% | 522 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC | 93% | 522 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:16 PM UTC | 92% | 522 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:57 PM UTC | 90% | 522 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:11 AM UTC | 89% | 522 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:33 AM UTC | 90% | 522 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:12 AM UTC | 88% | 522 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:44 PM UTC | 91% | 522 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:06 PM UTC | 89% | 493 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:16 PM UTC | 88% | 493 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:09 AM UTC | 87% | 493 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:18 AM UTC | 88% | 493 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC | 86% | 493 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC | 86% | 464 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:24 PM UTC | 85% | 435 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:40 PM UTC | 82% | 435 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:37 PM UTC | 79% | 435 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:25 AM UTC | 75% | 406 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:41 AM UTC | 70% | 377 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC | 71% | 377 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 66% | 377 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:32 PM UTC | 66% | 377 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC | 65% | 348 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:50 PM UTC | 63% | 348 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:24 AM UTC | 66% | 348 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:18 AM UTC | 69% | 348 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:56 AM UTC | 67% | 319 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:59 PM UTC | 68% | 290 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:44 PM UTC | 67% | 261 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:31 PM UTC | 70% | 232 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:42 PM UTC | 73% | 232 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC | 71% | 203 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:49 AM UTC | 70% | 174 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:11 AM UTC | 66% | 174 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:54 PM UTC | 74% | 174 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:42 PM UTC | 69% | 145 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:33 PM UTC | 68% | 116 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:22 AM UTC | 67% | 87 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC | 66% | 58 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:40 AM UTC | 65% | 29 |
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