Deadline
Resolved YES
, Oct 11, 2026.
The npm downloads API reports 50,858,207 downloads for the 7 days ending 2026-10-04 (UTC), against a threshold of 44,000,000.
71%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
62%
Set at open
760
627 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 44,000,000 downloads of the openai package in total for 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 44,000,000 downloads of openai for 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 (UTC).
71%
▲ 4 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026, 12:48 AM UTC | 71% | 627 |
| Sep 27, 2026, 2:42 PM UTC | 71% | 627 |
| Sep 27, 2026, 4:31 AM UTC | 73% | 627 |
| Sep 26, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC | 76% | 608 |
| Sep 26, 2026, 3:04 AM UTC | 72% | 589 |
| Sep 25, 2026, 11:18 AM UTC | 70% | 570 |
| Sep 24, 2026, 11:45 PM UTC | 73% | 551 |
| Sep 24, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC | 70% | 532 |
| Sep 23, 2026, 7:19 PM UTC | 64% | 513 |
| Sep 23, 2026, 6:14 AM UTC | 61% | 494 |
| Sep 22, 2026, 4:12 PM UTC | 67% | 494 |
| Sep 22, 2026, 7:09 AM UTC | 70% | 475 |
| Sep 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 74% | 456 |
| Sep 21, 2026, 4:32 PM UTC | 74% | 456 |
| Sep 21, 2026, 4:40 AM UTC | 73% | 437 |
| Sep 20, 2026, 12:18 PM UTC | 68% | 418 |
| Sep 20, 2026, 12:26 AM UTC | 67% | 399 |
| Sep 19, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC | 66% | 399 |
| Sep 18, 2026, 10:52 PM UTC | 74% | 380 |
| Sep 18, 2026, 9:17 AM UTC | 76% | 361 |
| Sep 17, 2026, 9:17 PM UTC | 71% | 342 |
| Sep 17, 2026, 9:01 AM UTC | 65% | 323 |
| Sep 16, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC | 75% | 304 |
| Sep 16, 2026, 6:03 AM UTC | 74% | 285 |
| Sep 15, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC | 73% | 285 |
| Sep 15, 2026, 2:55 AM UTC | 69% | 266 |
| Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 69% | 266 |
| Sep 14, 2026, 12:03 PM UTC | 69% | 266 |
| Sep 13, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC | 75% | 247 |
| Sep 13, 2026, 10:20 AM UTC | 74% | 228 |
| Sep 12, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC | 76% | 209 |
| Sep 12, 2026, 8:27 AM UTC | 73% | 209 |
| Sep 11, 2026, 8:59 PM UTC | 73% | 190 |
| Sep 11, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC | 75% | 190 |
| Sep 10, 2026, 3:39 PM UTC | 76% | 171 |
| Sep 10, 2026, 1:59 AM UTC | 73% | 152 |
| Sep 9, 2026, 1:44 PM UTC | 69% | 133 |
| Sep 9, 2026, 1:44 AM UTC | 63% | 114 |
| Sep 8, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC | 61% | 95 |
| Sep 8, 2026, 12:32 AM UTC | 68% | 76 |
| Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 69% | 57 |
| Sep 7, 2026, 7:26 AM UTC | 69% | 57 |
| Sep 6, 2026, 6:26 PM UTC | 67% | 38 |
| Sep 6, 2026, 5:23 AM UTC | 66% | 19 |
AI research and deployment