Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
13%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
6%
Set at open
1,020
380 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 12,000,000 downloads of the @mistralai/mistralai package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 12,000,000 downloads of @mistralai/mistralai for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
13%
▲ 9 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC | 13% | 380 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:06 PM UTC | 12% | 380 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC | 11% | 380 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:53 AM UTC | 13% | 380 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:59 AM UTC | 11% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:39 AM UTC | 8% | 360 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:30 AM UTC | 10% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:32 PM UTC | 12% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC | 11% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:17 PM UTC | 14% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:13 AM UTC | 16% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:52 AM UTC | 17% | 360 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:57 AM UTC | 20% | 360 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:03 PM UTC | 24% | 360 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:34 PM UTC | 11% | 360 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:19 PM UTC | 13% | 360 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:37 AM UTC | 8% | 360 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:21 AM UTC | 9% | 360 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:26 AM UTC | 11% | 360 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC | 10% | 360 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC | 12% | 340 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:20 PM UTC | 13% | 340 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:34 AM UTC | 15% | 340 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:19 AM UTC | 18% | 340 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC | 17% | 340 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:24 AM UTC | 12% | 340 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:59 PM UTC | 9% | 340 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:53 PM UTC | 10% | 320 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:56 PM UTC | 12% | 320 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC | 7% | 300 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC | 8% | 300 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC | 3% | 280 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 3% | 260 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:42 PM UTC | 3% | 260 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC | 3% | 240 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:06 PM UTC | 3% | 240 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:02 AM UTC | 4% | 240 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:17 AM UTC | 3% | 240 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:07 AM UTC | 3% | 220 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC | 3% | 200 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC | 3% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC | 4% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:26 PM UTC | 3% | 160 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:34 AM UTC | 3% | 140 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC | 3% | 120 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:23 AM UTC | 3% | 100 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC | 3% | 80 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:49 PM UTC | 4% | 60 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:20 PM UTC | 5% | 40 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC | 6% | 40 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:47 AM UTC | 5% | 40 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:19 AM UTC | 5% | 20 |
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