Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
49%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
20%
Set at open
1,530
1,230 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 11,000,000 downloads of the @mistralai/mistralai package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 11,000,000 downloads of @mistralai/mistralai for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
49%
▲ 25 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:19 PM UTC | 49% | 1230 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:15 PM UTC | 57% | 1200 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:24 PM UTC | 60% | 1200 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:33 AM UTC | 59% | 1200 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:13 AM UTC | 56% | 1170 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:53 AM UTC | 56% | 1140 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:24 AM UTC | 63% | 1110 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC | 58% | 1080 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:09 PM UTC | 56% | 1080 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:32 PM UTC | 63% | 1050 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:30 AM UTC | 60% | 1050 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:39 AM UTC | 55% | 1050 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:32 AM UTC | 50% | 1020 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:28 PM UTC | 53% | 990 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC | 54% | 960 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:49 PM UTC | 51% | 930 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:52 AM UTC | 56% | 900 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:58 AM UTC | 48% | 900 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:27 AM UTC | 49% | 870 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:16 PM UTC | 54% | 840 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC | 54% | 840 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:03 PM UTC | 54% | 810 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:29 PM UTC | 46% | 780 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:25 AM UTC | 54% | 750 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:48 AM UTC | 46% | 720 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:44 AM UTC | 47% | 690 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:41 PM UTC | 40% | 660 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC | 47% | 630 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:39 PM UTC | 37% | 600 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:55 AM UTC | 44% | 570 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC | 34% | 570 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:31 AM UTC | 26% | 540 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 23% | 510 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:35 PM UTC | 23% | 510 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC | 28% | 510 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC | 23% | 480 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:25 AM UTC | 24% | 450 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC | 28% | 420 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:48 AM UTC | 33% | 390 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:11 PM UTC | 21% | 360 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:06 PM UTC | 25% | 330 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:19 PM UTC | 24% | 300 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:56 AM UTC | 29% | 270 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:44 AM UTC | 28% | 240 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:09 AM UTC | 24% | 210 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:59 AM UTC | 23% | 180 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:01 PM UTC | 20% | 180 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:52 PM UTC | 23% | 150 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:05 PM UTC | 25% | 120 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:56 AM UTC | 25% | 90 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:59 AM UTC | 30% | 60 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:53 AM UTC | 24% | 30 |
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