Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
78%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
58%
Set at open
1,392
1,008 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 9,400,000 downloads of the @mistralai/mistralai package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 9,400,000 downloads of @mistralai/mistralai for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
78%
▲ 19 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:47 PM UTC | 78% | 1008 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:42 PM UTC | 79% | 984 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:56 PM UTC | 76% | 960 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:52 PM UTC | 81% | 936 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC | 80% | 936 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:24 AM UTC | 77% | 912 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:39 AM UTC | 72% | 888 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:10 PM UTC | 67% | 864 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:37 PM UTC | 76% | 864 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:36 PM UTC | 77% | 840 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:26 PM UTC | 79% | 816 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:24 AM UTC | 83% | 792 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:10 AM UTC | 79% | 768 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:52 AM UTC | 78% | 768 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC | 75% | 744 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:49 PM UTC | 75% | 744 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:58 PM UTC | 80% | 720 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:51 PM UTC | 76% | 720 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:49 AM UTC | 72% | 720 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:37 AM UTC | 75% | 696 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:17 AM UTC | 76% | 672 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:55 AM UTC | 76% | 648 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:27 PM UTC | 71% | 648 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:51 PM UTC | 73% | 624 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:59 PM UTC | 67% | 600 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC | 80% | 576 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:11 AM UTC | 77% | 576 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:18 AM UTC | 77% | 552 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:03 AM UTC | 73% | 528 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:14 PM UTC | 70% | 528 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:25 PM UTC | 64% | 504 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:36 PM UTC | 58% | 480 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:29 PM UTC | 49% | 480 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:50 AM UTC | 55% | 456 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:35 AM UTC | 52% | 432 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:23 AM UTC | 46% | 408 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:12 AM UTC | 48% | 408 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 51% | 384 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:48 PM UTC | 51% | 384 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:21 PM UTC | 57% | 360 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:09 PM UTC | 55% | 336 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:51 AM UTC | 58% | 312 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:21 AM UTC | 50% | 288 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:25 AM UTC | 48% | 288 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:09 AM UTC | 47% | 288 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:18 PM UTC | 53% | 288 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:58 PM UTC | 54% | 264 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:12 PM UTC | 51% | 240 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:45 AM UTC | 50% | 216 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:33 AM UTC | 50% | 192 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:58 AM UTC | 49% | 168 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC | 46% | 168 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:23 PM UTC | 49% | 144 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:21 PM UTC | 58% | 120 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:39 PM UTC | 58% | 96 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:12 PM UTC | 55% | 72 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:03 AM UTC | 59% | 72 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC | 56% | 48 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC | 59% | 24 |
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