Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
38%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
53%
Set at open
1,081
966 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of llamaindex.ai's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 57,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 57,000, or if llamaindex.ai is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
38%
▼ 15 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:10 PM UTC | 38% | 966 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:20 PM UTC | 33% | 966 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:56 PM UTC | 35% | 943 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:13 AM UTC | 32% | 943 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:37 AM UTC | 35% | 943 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:39 AM UTC | 33% | 920 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC | 30% | 920 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:14 PM UTC | 28% | 897 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:18 PM UTC | 29% | 874 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC | 28% | 851 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:04 AM UTC | 29% | 828 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:45 AM UTC | 21% | 828 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:54 PM UTC | 22% | 805 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:04 PM UTC | 28% | 782 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC | 26% | 759 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC | 35% | 736 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:25 AM UTC | 34% | 713 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:51 AM UTC | 33% | 690 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:03 PM UTC | 30% | 667 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:02 PM UTC | 34% | 644 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:55 PM UTC | 39% | 621 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC | 33% | 598 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:58 AM UTC | 40% | 575 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC | 37% | 552 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:11 PM UTC | 37% | 529 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:54 PM UTC | 38% | 506 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:23 PM UTC | 36% | 483 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:43 AM UTC | 40% | 460 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:42 AM UTC | 47% | 437 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 52% | 414 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:51 PM UTC | 52% | 414 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:31 PM UTC | 57% | 391 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:52 PM UTC | 48% | 368 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:17 PM UTC | 49% | 345 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC | 50% | 322 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:58 AM UTC | 51% | 299 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC | 43% | 276 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:47 PM UTC | 54% | 253 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:38 PM UTC | 55% | 230 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:26 AM UTC | 52% | 207 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:21 AM UTC | 51% | 184 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:05 AM UTC | 48% | 161 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:02 PM UTC | 46% | 138 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:52 PM UTC | 44% | 115 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC | 48% | 92 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:56 AM UTC | 42% | 69 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC | 51% | 46 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:18 AM UTC | 53% | 23 |
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