Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
45%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
48%
Set at open
2,117
1,392 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of linear.app's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 9,300 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 9,300, or if linear.app is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
45%
▼ 11 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:37 PM UTC | 45% | 1392 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC | 42% | 1392 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC | 38% | 1392 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:07 PM UTC | 38% | 1363 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:57 PM UTC | 43% | 1363 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC | 42% | 1363 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:04 AM UTC | 46% | 1334 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:15 AM UTC | 39% | 1305 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:46 AM UTC | 48% | 1276 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:25 PM UTC | 47% | 1247 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:34 PM UTC | 45% | 1247 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:46 PM UTC | 44% | 1218 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:56 PM UTC | 46% | 1218 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:48 PM UTC | 49% | 1189 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:14 AM UTC | 45% | 1160 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:57 AM UTC | 44% | 1160 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:14 AM UTC | 44% | 1131 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:45 AM UTC | 46% | 1102 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:07 AM UTC | 39% | 1102 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:45 PM UTC | 37% | 1073 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:12 PM UTC | 44% | 1044 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:09 PM UTC | 43% | 1044 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:23 PM UTC | 36% | 1015 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:41 AM UTC | 44% | 1015 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:14 AM UTC | 41% | 986 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC | 42% | 957 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:23 AM UTC | 46% | 928 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:12 AM UTC | 48% | 928 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:42 PM UTC | 46% | 899 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:22 PM UTC | 52% | 899 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:10 PM UTC | 48% | 870 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:13 PM UTC | 47% | 841 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:16 AM UTC | 44% | 841 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:19 AM UTC | 44% | 841 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:44 AM UTC | 49% | 841 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:54 AM UTC | 40% | 812 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:35 AM UTC | 47% | 812 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:45 PM UTC | 50% | 783 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:23 PM UTC | 52% | 783 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:15 PM UTC | 47% | 783 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:21 PM UTC | 56% | 754 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:37 AM UTC | 55% | 754 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:43 AM UTC | 55% | 725 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:10 AM UTC | 51% | 696 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:07 AM UTC | 50% | 696 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:46 AM UTC | 47% | 667 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 46% | 638 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:54 PM UTC | 46% | 638 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:59 PM UTC | 47% | 609 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:44 PM UTC | 46% | 609 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:44 PM UTC | 49% | 580 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:03 AM UTC | 50% | 580 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC | 45% | 580 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:39 AM UTC | 48% | 551 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:21 AM UTC | 47% | 522 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:19 AM UTC | 50% | 493 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:26 PM UTC | 48% | 493 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:47 PM UTC | 43% | 464 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC | 52% | 435 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC | 41% | 406 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:13 PM UTC | 46% | 377 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC | 45% | 348 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:12 AM UTC | 50% | 319 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:20 AM UTC | 48% | 319 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:36 AM UTC | 55% | 290 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:10 PM UTC | 53% | 261 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC | 56% | 232 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:35 PM UTC | 52% | 203 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:57 PM UTC | 50% | 174 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:26 PM UTC | 45% | 145 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:43 AM UTC | 41% | 116 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:17 AM UTC | 44% | 87 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:57 AM UTC | 52% | 58 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:21 AM UTC | 57% | 29 |
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