Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
65%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
64%
Set at open
2,233
1,740 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of fal.ai's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 40,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 40,000, or if fal.ai is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
65%
▲ 7 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:17 PM UTC | 65% | 1740 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC | 71% | 1711 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:11 PM UTC | 62% | 1682 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:37 PM UTC | 60% | 1653 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC | 66% | 1653 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:37 AM UTC | 63% | 1624 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:47 AM UTC | 59% | 1595 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC | 57% | 1595 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:33 AM UTC | 64% | 1566 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:36 AM UTC | 60% | 1537 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:13 PM UTC | 66% | 1537 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:31 PM UTC | 72% | 1508 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC | 68% | 1508 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:22 PM UTC | 62% | 1479 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:01 PM UTC | 69% | 1450 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:43 AM UTC | 67% | 1421 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:30 AM UTC | 72% | 1421 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:21 AM UTC | 74% | 1392 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:01 AM UTC | 72% | 1363 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:23 AM UTC | 65% | 1334 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC | 73% | 1305 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:52 PM UTC | 66% | 1276 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:28 PM UTC | 55% | 1247 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:35 PM UTC | 70% | 1247 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:54 AM UTC | 68% | 1218 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC | 60% | 1189 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:20 AM UTC | 62% | 1189 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:02 AM UTC | 63% | 1160 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:44 AM UTC | 70% | 1160 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:49 PM UTC | 68% | 1160 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:31 PM UTC | 67% | 1131 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC | 67% | 1102 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC | 63% | 1073 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:27 PM UTC | 64% | 1073 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:26 AM UTC | 66% | 1073 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:44 AM UTC | 68% | 1044 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:18 AM UTC | 59% | 1015 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:33 AM UTC | 61% | 1015 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:19 AM UTC | 68% | 986 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:04 PM UTC | 63% | 957 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC | 59% | 957 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:18 PM UTC | 60% | 928 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:32 PM UTC | 64% | 928 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:46 AM UTC | 61% | 899 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:50 AM UTC | 62% | 870 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC | 63% | 841 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:27 AM UTC | 66% | 812 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:39 AM UTC | 55% | 783 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 58% | 783 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:02 PM UTC | 58% | 783 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC | 60% | 754 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:35 PM UTC | 62% | 725 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC | 61% | 696 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:52 PM UTC | 66% | 667 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:59 AM UTC | 67% | 638 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:14 AM UTC | 60% | 609 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:24 AM UTC | 59% | 580 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:22 AM UTC | 65% | 551 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:09 AM UTC | 67% | 522 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:03 PM UTC | 65% | 493 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:44 PM UTC | 59% | 464 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:14 PM UTC | 64% | 435 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:12 PM UTC | 58% | 406 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:42 PM UTC | 63% | 377 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:15 AM UTC | 64% | 348 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:28 AM UTC | 60% | 319 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:46 AM UTC | 63% | 290 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:57 AM UTC | 60% | 261 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:46 PM UTC | 57% | 232 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:39 PM UTC | 63% | 203 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:49 PM UTC | 60% | 174 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:44 PM UTC | 64% | 145 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:58 PM UTC | 57% | 116 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:26 AM UTC | 59% | 116 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:02 AM UTC | 65% | 87 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC | 67% | 58 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:03 AM UTC | 55% | 29 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:24 AM UTC | 58% | 29 |
Generative media platform