Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
54%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
49%
Set at open
1,395
1,271 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of exa.ai's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 30,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 30,000, or if exa.ai is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
54%
▼ 2 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:52 PM UTC | 54% | 1271 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:17 PM UTC | 51% | 1240 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:23 PM UTC | 49% | 1209 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:05 AM UTC | 48% | 1209 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:46 AM UTC | 51% | 1178 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:45 AM UTC | 51% | 1147 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC | 62% | 1116 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:02 PM UTC | 60% | 1116 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:16 PM UTC | 50% | 1085 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:57 AM UTC | 54% | 1054 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:54 AM UTC | 55% | 1023 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:55 PM UTC | 60% | 1023 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:49 PM UTC | 54% | 992 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:59 PM UTC | 49% | 961 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC | 48% | 930 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:45 AM UTC | 45% | 899 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:11 AM UTC | 57% | 868 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:57 PM UTC | 50% | 837 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:21 PM UTC | 43% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:56 PM UTC | 52% | 775 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:31 AM UTC | 57% | 744 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:16 AM UTC | 54% | 744 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:10 AM UTC | 57% | 713 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC | 45% | 682 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:30 PM UTC | 57% | 651 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:09 AM UTC | 54% | 620 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC | 47% | 589 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:26 AM UTC | 45% | 558 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 51% | 527 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:49 PM UTC | 51% | 527 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:45 PM UTC | 46% | 496 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:29 PM UTC | 59% | 465 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:33 AM UTC | 54% | 434 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:18 AM UTC | 55% | 403 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:12 AM UTC | 48% | 372 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:13 PM UTC | 48% | 341 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:42 PM UTC | 53% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:49 AM UTC | 53% | 279 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC | 57% | 248 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:45 AM UTC | 58% | 217 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:37 PM UTC | 64% | 186 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:38 PM UTC | 56% | 155 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:52 PM UTC | 55% | 124 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:16 AM UTC | 51% | 93 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:18 AM UTC | 52% | 62 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:20 AM UTC | 56% | 31 |
Search engine for AI