Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
61%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
59%
Set at open
1,856
1,504 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of e2b.dev's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 230,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 230,000, or if e2b.dev is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
61%
▲ 3 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:42 PM UTC | 61% | 1504 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:14 PM UTC | 61% | 1472 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:55 PM UTC | 62% | 1472 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC | 71% | 1440 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC | 67% | 1408 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:18 AM UTC | 65% | 1408 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:59 AM UTC | 62% | 1376 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:21 AM UTC | 66% | 1376 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:23 PM UTC | 67% | 1344 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:31 PM UTC | 63% | 1344 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:14 PM UTC | 72% | 1312 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:20 AM UTC | 73% | 1280 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:31 AM UTC | 64% | 1248 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:25 AM UTC | 61% | 1216 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:59 AM UTC | 61% | 1184 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC | 67% | 1152 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:37 PM UTC | 67% | 1120 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:13 PM UTC | 64% | 1088 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:56 AM UTC | 73% | 1088 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:11 AM UTC | 72% | 1056 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:40 AM UTC | 62% | 1056 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:49 AM UTC | 68% | 1024 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:27 PM UTC | 66% | 1024 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:16 PM UTC | 61% | 992 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:49 PM UTC | 59% | 960 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:31 PM UTC | 60% | 928 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:46 AM UTC | 64% | 896 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:15 AM UTC | 63% | 864 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:13 AM UTC | 67% | 832 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:27 PM UTC | 67% | 832 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:51 PM UTC | 67% | 800 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:12 PM UTC | 68% | 768 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:26 PM UTC | 66% | 736 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:02 AM UTC | 63% | 704 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC | 59% | 672 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:38 AM UTC | 61% | 640 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:05 AM UTC | 61% | 608 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 58% | 576 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:16 PM UTC | 58% | 576 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:36 PM UTC | 62% | 576 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:59 PM UTC | 53% | 544 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC | 63% | 512 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:31 AM UTC | 64% | 512 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:09 AM UTC | 63% | 480 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:44 AM UTC | 64% | 448 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:35 PM UTC | 62% | 416 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:35 PM UTC | 60% | 384 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:11 PM UTC | 56% | 352 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:54 AM UTC | 62% | 320 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:50 AM UTC | 64% | 288 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:49 AM UTC | 60% | 256 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:47 AM UTC | 60% | 224 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:18 PM UTC | 67% | 192 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:59 PM UTC | 63% | 160 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:35 PM UTC | 57% | 128 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:03 PM UTC | 60% | 128 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:02 AM UTC | 56% | 96 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:42 AM UTC | 59% | 64 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:03 AM UTC | 58% | 32 |
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