Deadline (Closes in 24 days)
56%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
50%
Set at open
312
286 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if Convex's public job board (ashby) lists at least 14 open postings when checked on 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if it lists fewer than 14 open postings when checked on 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
56%
▲ 11 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026, 12:10 AM UTC | 56% | 286 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:06 PM UTC | 52% | 260 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:36 PM UTC | 48% | 234 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:42 PM UTC | 52% | 208 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:47 PM UTC | 46% | 182 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:15 PM UTC | 46% | 156 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:40 PM UTC | 61% | 130 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:34 AM UTC | 60% | 130 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC | 56% | 104 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:10 AM UTC | 55% | 78 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:07 AM UTC | 47% | 52 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:06 AM UTC | 46% | 26 |
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