Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
49%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
16%
Set at open
1,457
1,209 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 2,300,000 downloads of the convex package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 2,300,000 downloads of convex for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
49%
▲ 35 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:18 PM UTC | 49% | 1209 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:50 PM UTC | 46% | 1178 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:41 PM UTC | 55% | 1178 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:07 AM UTC | 46% | 1178 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:31 AM UTC | 45% | 1147 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:34 AM UTC | 48% | 1116 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:37 PM UTC | 52% | 1085 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC | 45% | 1054 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:48 PM UTC | 49% | 1054 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC | 49% | 1023 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC | 53% | 1023 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:07 AM UTC | 53% | 1023 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:46 PM UTC | 50% | 992 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC | 47% | 961 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:59 PM UTC | 50% | 930 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:59 AM UTC | 52% | 899 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:55 AM UTC | 51% | 868 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:46 AM UTC | 51% | 837 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:02 PM UTC | 51% | 806 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:12 PM UTC | 49% | 775 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:28 PM UTC | 51% | 744 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:42 AM UTC | 52% | 713 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:37 AM UTC | 42% | 682 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC | 40% | 651 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:48 PM UTC | 30% | 620 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:54 PM UTC | 17% | 589 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC | 20% | 558 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:25 AM UTC | 24% | 527 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:44 AM UTC | 29% | 496 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:03 AM UTC | 15% | 465 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 18% | 465 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:48 PM UTC | 18% | 465 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:46 PM UTC | 17% | 434 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:25 AM UTC | 16% | 403 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:59 AM UTC | 19% | 372 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:46 AM UTC | 22% | 341 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:39 PM UTC | 27% | 341 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:59 PM UTC | 26% | 310 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:28 PM UTC | 16% | 279 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC | 17% | 248 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:04 AM UTC | 19% | 248 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC | 15% | 217 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:51 PM UTC | 13% | 186 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:58 PM UTC | 12% | 155 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:58 PM UTC | 14% | 124 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC | 11% | 93 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:46 AM UTC | 13% | 62 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:01 AM UTC | 14% | 31 |
Reactive backend platform