Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
77%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
28%
Set at open
864
720 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 2,000,000 downloads of the convex package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 2,000,000 downloads of convex for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
77%
▲ 49 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:03 PM UTC | 77% | 720 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:17 PM UTC | 73% | 702 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC | 68% | 702 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:34 AM UTC | 73% | 684 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:11 AM UTC | 70% | 666 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:21 AM UTC | 72% | 666 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:41 PM UTC | 66% | 648 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:11 PM UTC | 74% | 630 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:06 PM UTC | 70% | 612 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:09 AM UTC | 75% | 594 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC | 79% | 576 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:49 AM UTC | 81% | 558 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:26 PM UTC | 80% | 540 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:09 PM UTC | 77% | 522 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:52 PM UTC | 78% | 504 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:01 AM UTC | 77% | 504 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:12 AM UTC | 73% | 504 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:18 AM UTC | 68% | 486 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:46 PM UTC | 74% | 468 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:04 PM UTC | 74% | 468 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:18 PM UTC | 76% | 450 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC | 72% | 432 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:19 AM UTC | 66% | 414 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:25 AM UTC | 62% | 396 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC | 55% | 378 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:43 PM UTC | 48% | 360 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:52 PM UTC | 38% | 342 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:48 AM UTC | 44% | 324 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:08 AM UTC | 33% | 306 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:45 AM UTC | 32% | 288 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 33% | 270 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:45 PM UTC | 33% | 270 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:31 PM UTC | 25% | 252 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC | 23% | 234 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:45 AM UTC | 27% | 216 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:39 AM UTC | 32% | 198 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC | 31% | 198 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:13 PM UTC | 28% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:41 PM UTC | 34% | 162 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:48 PM UTC | 33% | 144 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:17 AM UTC | 31% | 126 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC | 29% | 108 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:05 AM UTC | 31% | 90 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:24 PM UTC | 25% | 72 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:54 PM UTC | 28% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:29 PM UTC | 28% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:43 AM UTC | 34% | 54 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:04 AM UTC | 30% | 36 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:49 AM UTC | 28% | 18 |
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