Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
84%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
54%
Set at open
2,016
608 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 1,800,000 downloads of the convex package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 1,800,000 downloads of convex for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
84%
▲ 39 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:52 PM UTC | 84% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:43 PM UTC | 85% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:09 PM UTC | 85% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:36 PM UTC | 86% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:11 AM UTC | 87% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:24 AM UTC | 85% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:13 AM UTC | 88% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:14 AM UTC | 87% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC | 85% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:31 PM UTC | 85% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:01 PM UTC | 86% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:48 PM UTC | 85% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:28 AM UTC | 82% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC | 85% | 576 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC | 86% | 576 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:07 AM UTC | 83% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC | 87% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:19 PM UTC | 88% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:59 PM UTC | 88% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:52 PM UTC | 86% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:33 AM UTC | 86% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:13 AM UTC | 90% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:26 AM UTC | 88% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:23 AM UTC | 86% | 576 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:16 PM UTC | 84% | 576 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:17 PM UTC | 83% | 576 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:42 PM UTC | 85% | 576 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:34 PM UTC | 85% | 576 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:37 AM UTC | 82% | 544 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:21 AM UTC | 79% | 544 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:58 AM UTC | 74% | 512 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:02 AM UTC | 70% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:01 PM UTC | 64% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:59 PM UTC | 57% | 480 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:54 PM UTC | 48% | 448 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:29 PM UTC | 57% | 448 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:41 AM UTC | 60% | 448 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC | 52% | 448 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:35 AM UTC | 57% | 448 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:07 AM UTC | 58% | 448 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 57% | 448 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:09 PM UTC | 57% | 448 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:49 PM UTC | 52% | 448 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:29 PM UTC | 44% | 448 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:31 AM UTC | 48% | 416 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:57 AM UTC | 47% | 416 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:15 AM UTC | 46% | 416 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:57 AM UTC | 53% | 416 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:04 AM UTC | 43% | 416 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:05 PM UTC | 49% | 416 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:49 PM UTC | 46% | 384 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:49 PM UTC | 49% | 352 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:26 AM UTC | 45% | 320 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:55 AM UTC | 43% | 288 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:43 AM UTC | 50% | 256 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:11 AM UTC | 46% | 224 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:36 PM UTC | 50% | 224 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:39 PM UTC | 53% | 192 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:27 PM UTC | 54% | 192 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:17 PM UTC | 45% | 160 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:36 AM UTC | 45% | 128 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:29 AM UTC | 49% | 96 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:46 AM UTC | 48% | 64 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:43 AM UTC | 45% | 32 |
Credits settled
Reactive backend platform