Deadline
Resolved YES
, Oct 11, 2026.
The npm downloads API reports 1,970,971 downloads for the 7 days ending 2026-10-04 (UTC), against a threshold of 1,400,000.
92%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
86%
Set at open
1,025
900 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 1,400,000 downloads of the convex package in total for 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 1,400,000 downloads of convex for 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 (UTC).
92%
▲ 5 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026, 12:48 AM UTC | 92% | 900 |
| Sep 27, 2026, 3:52 PM UTC | 92% | 900 |
| Sep 27, 2026, 5:20 AM UTC | 91% | 900 |
| Sep 26, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC | 89% | 875 |
| Sep 26, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC | 88% | 850 |
| Sep 25, 2026, 1:28 PM UTC | 85% | 850 |
| Sep 24, 2026, 11:50 PM UTC | 82% | 825 |
| Sep 24, 2026, 12:54 PM UTC | 85% | 800 |
| Sep 24, 2026, 12:16 AM UTC | 82% | 775 |
| Sep 23, 2026, 9:55 AM UTC | 79% | 750 |
| Sep 22, 2026, 8:02 PM UTC | 76% | 725 |
| Sep 22, 2026, 10:10 AM UTC | 88% | 700 |
| Sep 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 88% | 675 |
| Sep 21, 2026, 5:27 PM UTC | 88% | 675 |
| Sep 21, 2026, 6:41 AM UTC | 92% | 650 |
| Sep 20, 2026, 5:44 PM UTC | 90% | 650 |
| Sep 20, 2026, 6:21 AM UTC | 88% | 625 |
| Sep 19, 2026, 5:38 PM UTC | 86% | 600 |
| Sep 19, 2026, 12:51 AM UTC | 83% | 575 |
| Sep 18, 2026, 1:53 PM UTC | 80% | 550 |
| Sep 18, 2026, 1:48 AM UTC | 89% | 525 |
| Sep 17, 2026, 11:13 AM UTC | 89% | 500 |
| Sep 17, 2026, 2:09 AM UTC | 87% | 475 |
| Sep 16, 2026, 9:41 AM UTC | 85% | 450 |
| Sep 16, 2026, 12:46 AM UTC | 90% | 425 |
| Sep 15, 2026, 10:34 AM UTC | 89% | 425 |
| Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 88% | 400 |
| Sep 14, 2026, 7:01 PM UTC | 88% | 400 |
| Sep 14, 2026, 7:47 AM UTC | 89% | 375 |
| Sep 13, 2026, 8:56 PM UTC | 86% | 375 |
| Sep 13, 2026, 5:34 AM UTC | 91% | 350 |
| Sep 12, 2026, 5:53 PM UTC | 91% | 325 |
| Sep 12, 2026, 5:19 AM UTC | 89% | 300 |
| Sep 11, 2026, 1:21 PM UTC | 88% | 275 |
| Sep 11, 2026, 2:29 AM UTC | 88% | 250 |
| Sep 10, 2026, 2:22 PM UTC | 86% | 225 |
| Sep 10, 2026, 2:04 AM UTC | 87% | 200 |
| Sep 9, 2026, 12:17 PM UTC | 90% | 175 |
| Sep 9, 2026, 1:50 AM UTC | 91% | 150 |
| Sep 8, 2026, 8:10 AM UTC | 89% | 125 |
| Sep 8, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 90% | 100 |
| Sep 7, 2026, 9:58 PM UTC | 90% | 100 |
| Sep 7, 2026, 8:49 AM UTC | 88% | 75 |
| Sep 6, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC | 89% | 50 |
| Sep 6, 2026, 5:55 AM UTC | 87% | 25 |
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