Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
31%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
23%
Set at open
1,080
920 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of clerk.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 6,700 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 6,700, or if clerk.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
31%
▲ 8 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:06 PM UTC | 31% | 920 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:05 PM UTC | 34% | 900 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:06 PM UTC | 41% | 900 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:51 PM UTC | 38% | 880 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:11 AM UTC | 33% | 860 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:10 AM UTC | 31% | 860 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:52 AM UTC | 31% | 840 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:40 PM UTC | 31% | 820 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:10 PM UTC | 33% | 800 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:53 PM UTC | 34% | 780 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:54 AM UTC | 36% | 760 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:43 AM UTC | 28% | 740 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:39 AM UTC | 32% | 720 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:56 AM UTC | 30% | 700 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:34 PM UTC | 28% | 680 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:39 PM UTC | 34% | 660 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC | 37% | 660 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC | 38% | 640 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:55 AM UTC | 31% | 620 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:57 AM UTC | 41% | 600 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:06 PM UTC | 37% | 600 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:41 PM UTC | 39% | 580 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:57 PM UTC | 32% | 580 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:24 PM UTC | 28% | 580 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:42 AM UTC | 32% | 560 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:12 AM UTC | 28% | 540 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:50 AM UTC | 31% | 520 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:00 PM UTC | 30% | 520 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:39 PM UTC | 20% | 500 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC | 21% | 480 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:54 AM UTC | 28% | 460 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:16 AM UTC | 30% | 440 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:11 AM UTC | 27% | 440 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:35 AM UTC | 22% | 420 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 28% | 400 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:49 PM UTC | 28% | 400 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:56 PM UTC | 17% | 380 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:58 PM UTC | 18% | 360 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:47 AM UTC | 21% | 340 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:25 AM UTC | 22% | 320 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:20 AM UTC | 23% | 300 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:09 AM UTC | 17% | 280 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:14 PM UTC | 23% | 260 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:46 PM UTC | 26% | 240 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:26 PM UTC | 25% | 220 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:58 AM UTC | 28% | 200 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:54 AM UTC | 28% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:28 AM UTC | 32% | 160 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:06 PM UTC | 27% | 140 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:12 PM UTC | 25% | 120 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:07 PM UTC | 18% | 100 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:55 PM UTC | 19% | 80 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:09 AM UTC | 26% | 60 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC | 24% | 40 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:43 AM UTC | 23% | 20 |
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