Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
33%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
4%
Set at open
1,984
608 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 4,100,000 downloads of the @clerk/nextjs package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 4,100,000 downloads of @clerk/nextjs for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
33%
▲ 26 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:34 PM UTC | 33% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:56 PM UTC | 28% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:47 PM UTC | 30% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:22 PM UTC | 32% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:49 AM UTC | 25% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC | 29% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:44 AM UTC | 27% | 608 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:01 AM UTC | 26% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:28 PM UTC | 31% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:11 PM UTC | 28% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:07 PM UTC | 27% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC | 32% | 608 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:04 AM UTC | 23% | 576 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC | 27% | 576 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:13 AM UTC | 28% | 576 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:35 AM UTC | 30% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:36 PM UTC | 28% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:55 PM UTC | 25% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:23 PM UTC | 28% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:59 AM UTC | 29% | 576 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:36 AM UTC | 29% | 544 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:27 AM UTC | 26% | 544 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:39 AM UTC | 24% | 544 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:32 PM UTC | 28% | 544 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:22 PM UTC | 29% | 544 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:59 PM UTC | 29% | 512 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:54 PM UTC | 27% | 512 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:09 AM UTC | 30% | 512 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:27 AM UTC | 29% | 512 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:40 AM UTC | 29% | 512 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:48 AM UTC | 24% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:13 PM UTC | 24% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:37 PM UTC | 19% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:01 PM UTC | 15% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:11 PM UTC | 17% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:07 AM UTC | 11% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:47 AM UTC | 13% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:52 AM UTC | 16% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:46 AM UTC | 19% | 512 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 16% | 512 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:42 PM UTC | 16% | 512 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:01 PM UTC | 15% | 512 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:02 PM UTC | 17% | 480 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:32 PM UTC | 15% | 448 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:06 AM UTC | 17% | 448 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:55 AM UTC | 14% | 416 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:15 AM UTC | 17% | 384 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:54 PM UTC | 16% | 384 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:13 PM UTC | 19% | 352 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:56 PM UTC | 16% | 352 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:34 PM UTC | 19% | 320 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:44 AM UTC | 18% | 320 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:50 AM UTC | 16% | 320 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC | 16% | 288 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:05 AM UTC | 9% | 256 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:56 PM UTC | 10% | 224 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:51 PM UTC | 12% | 192 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:15 PM UTC | 12% | 160 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:48 PM UTC | 10% | 128 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:11 AM UTC | 11% | 96 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:34 AM UTC | 8% | 96 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:29 AM UTC | 5% | 64 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:02 AM UTC | 6% | 32 |
Credits settled
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