Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
48%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
18%
Set at open
1,140
940 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 3,600,000 downloads of the @clerk/nextjs package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 3,600,000 downloads of @clerk/nextjs for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
48%
▲ 33 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:16 PM UTC | 48% | 940 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:03 PM UTC | 44% | 920 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:02 PM UTC | 47% | 920 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:12 PM UTC | 51% | 920 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC | 51% | 920 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:18 AM UTC | 50% | 900 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC | 59% | 880 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:56 PM UTC | 55% | 860 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC | 54% | 840 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:29 PM UTC | 52% | 820 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:41 PM UTC | 43% | 800 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:22 AM UTC | 51% | 780 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:39 AM UTC | 54% | 780 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:47 AM UTC | 50% | 780 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:13 AM UTC | 50% | 760 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:17 PM UTC | 47% | 740 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:28 PM UTC | 48% | 720 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:48 PM UTC | 56% | 720 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:09 AM UTC | 53% | 720 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:28 AM UTC | 54% | 700 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:48 AM UTC | 56% | 680 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:28 PM UTC | 53% | 660 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC | 52% | 640 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:55 PM UTC | 42% | 620 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:04 PM UTC | 51% | 600 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:30 AM UTC | 51% | 600 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:46 AM UTC | 49% | 580 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:19 AM UTC | 46% | 560 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:57 PM UTC | 43% | 540 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:32 PM UTC | 37% | 520 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:32 PM UTC | 25% | 500 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:03 PM UTC | 27% | 500 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:37 AM UTC | 13% | 480 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:26 AM UTC | 16% | 460 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:15 AM UTC | 19% | 440 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:36 AM UTC | 23% | 420 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 10% | 400 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:59 PM UTC | 10% | 400 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:52 PM UTC | 10% | 380 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:30 PM UTC | 10% | 360 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:41 AM UTC | 9% | 340 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:06 AM UTC | 11% | 340 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC | 13% | 320 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:10 AM UTC | 10% | 300 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC | 11% | 280 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:15 PM UTC | 13% | 260 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:31 PM UTC | 16% | 240 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:06 PM UTC | 17% | 220 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:54 AM UTC | 15% | 200 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:58 AM UTC | 12% | 180 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:03 AM UTC | 13% | 160 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:35 PM UTC | 15% | 140 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:31 PM UTC | 10% | 120 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:20 PM UTC | 9% | 100 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC | 10% | 80 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:03 AM UTC | 12% | 60 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC | 14% | 40 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:30 AM UTC | 15% | 20 |
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