Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
86%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
47%
Set at open
1,900
1,450 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 3,100,000 downloads of the @clerk/nextjs package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 3,100,000 downloads of @clerk/nextjs for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
86%
▲ 34 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:18 PM UTC | 86% | 1450 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:16 PM UTC | 84% | 1450 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:06 PM UTC | 81% | 1425 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC | 82% | 1400 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:39 PM UTC | 85% | 1375 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC | 83% | 1375 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:09 AM UTC | 84% | 1350 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:48 AM UTC | 80% | 1350 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:23 AM UTC | 77% | 1325 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:04 AM UTC | 72% | 1300 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:02 PM UTC | 79% | 1300 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:37 PM UTC | 88% | 1275 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:57 PM UTC | 86% | 1275 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:17 PM UTC | 83% | 1275 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:40 AM UTC | 82% | 1250 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:57 AM UTC | 82% | 1225 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:09 AM UTC | 79% | 1200 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:58 AM UTC | 77% | 1175 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC | 76% | 1175 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:44 PM UTC | 82% | 1150 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 8:55 PM UTC | 85% | 1125 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC | 88% | 1100 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:36 PM UTC | 91% | 1075 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 1:24 PM UTC | 90% | 1050 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC | 88% | 1050 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:53 AM UTC | 86% | 1025 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:56 AM UTC | 83% | 1025 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:41 AM UTC | 87% | 1000 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:40 AM UTC | 84% | 1000 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:09 PM UTC | 85% | 975 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:47 PM UTC | 87% | 950 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:49 PM UTC | 84% | 950 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC | 81% | 950 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 11:28 AM UTC | 84% | 925 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:11 AM UTC | 81% | 900 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:37 AM UTC | 77% | 900 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:45 AM UTC | 79% | 875 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:28 AM UTC | 75% | 850 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:21 PM UTC | 76% | 825 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:49 PM UTC | 71% | 800 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:34 PM UTC | 66% | 775 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:42 PM UTC | 59% | 750 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:03 PM UTC | 52% | 725 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:07 AM UTC | 56% | 700 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:17 AM UTC | 61% | 675 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:44 AM UTC | 54% | 650 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:06 AM UTC | 54% | 625 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:20 AM UTC | 46% | 600 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 49% | 575 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:29 PM UTC | 49% | 575 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:57 PM UTC | 47% | 550 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:46 PM UTC | 53% | 550 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:50 PM UTC | 45% | 525 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:26 AM UTC | 48% | 500 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:48 AM UTC | 48% | 475 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:14 AM UTC | 49% | 475 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:11 AM UTC | 50% | 450 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC | 45% | 425 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:33 PM UTC | 53% | 400 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 8:24 PM UTC | 49% | 400 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:14 PM UTC | 45% | 400 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:50 PM UTC | 47% | 375 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:48 PM UTC | 46% | 350 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:56 AM UTC | 42% | 325 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:56 AM UTC | 50% | 300 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC | 50% | 275 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:49 AM UTC | 55% | 275 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:41 AM UTC | 49% | 250 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 10:11 PM UTC | 48% | 225 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:04 PM UTC | 45% | 200 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC | 43% | 175 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:18 PM UTC | 49% | 150 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:44 AM UTC | 49% | 125 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:04 AM UTC | 46% | 100 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC | 44% | 75 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:27 AM UTC | 53% | 50 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:55 AM UTC | 52% | 25 |
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