Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
52%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
54%
Set at open
2,156
1,540 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of trychroma.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 110,000 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 110,000, or if trychroma.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
52%
■ 0 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:27 PM UTC | 52% | 1540 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:11 PM UTC | 54% | 1540 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC | 50% | 1512 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:05 PM UTC | 53% | 1512 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:02 PM UTC | 51% | 1484 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC | 52% | 1484 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:41 AM UTC | 54% | 1456 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:44 AM UTC | 52% | 1428 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:38 AM UTC | 46% | 1400 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:09 AM UTC | 46% | 1400 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:17 PM UTC | 52% | 1400 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:14 PM UTC | 53% | 1372 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC | 52% | 1344 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:47 PM UTC | 49% | 1316 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:55 PM UTC | 51% | 1288 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:03 AM UTC | 46% | 1260 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:21 AM UTC | 44% | 1232 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:26 AM UTC | 40% | 1204 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:07 AM UTC | 47% | 1176 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:57 PM UTC | 46% | 1148 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC | 52% | 1148 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:39 PM UTC | 55% | 1148 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC | 50% | 1120 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:17 PM UTC | 45% | 1120 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:49 AM UTC | 60% | 1120 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:27 AM UTC | 52% | 1092 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:13 AM UTC | 51% | 1092 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:40 AM UTC | 53% | 1092 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:59 AM UTC | 52% | 1092 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:43 PM UTC | 49% | 1064 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC | 49% | 1036 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:43 PM UTC | 48% | 1036 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:47 PM UTC | 51% | 1008 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:54 PM UTC | 48% | 980 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:27 AM UTC | 42% | 952 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC | 46% | 924 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:47 AM UTC | 38% | 924 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:54 AM UTC | 46% | 924 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:54 AM UTC | 47% | 896 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:11 PM UTC | 51% | 896 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:52 PM UTC | 54% | 896 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:18 PM UTC | 53% | 868 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:04 PM UTC | 52% | 840 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:19 PM UTC | 56% | 812 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:27 AM UTC | 54% | 784 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:22 AM UTC | 53% | 756 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:06 AM UTC | 50% | 756 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:58 AM UTC | 44% | 756 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 52% | 728 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:53 PM UTC | 52% | 728 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:02 PM UTC | 53% | 700 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:49 PM UTC | 58% | 672 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC | 56% | 644 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:52 PM UTC | 56% | 616 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:27 AM UTC | 55% | 616 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:17 AM UTC | 62% | 588 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:26 AM UTC | 56% | 560 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:01 AM UTC | 57% | 532 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC | 62% | 504 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:24 PM UTC | 56% | 476 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:47 PM UTC | 59% | 476 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:40 PM UTC | 53% | 448 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:01 PM UTC | 51% | 420 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:13 PM UTC | 54% | 420 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:28 AM UTC | 53% | 392 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC | 52% | 364 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:36 AM UTC | 51% | 336 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:21 AM UTC | 57% | 308 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:13 AM UTC | 60% | 280 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:11 PM UTC | 55% | 252 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:35 PM UTC | 55% | 224 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:58 PM UTC | 54% | 196 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:30 PM UTC | 58% | 168 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:27 AM UTC | 58% | 140 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:26 AM UTC | 54% | 112 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:59 AM UTC | 54% | 84 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:44 AM UTC | 53% | 56 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:15 AM UTC | 53% | 28 |
Open source AI database