Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
25%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
30%
Set at open
1,298
1,012 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the average of anthropic.com's daily Tranco ranks for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC) is 520 or better (lower). Tranco ranks sites by combined traffic signals; it is a proxy for site usage, not a user count.
Resolves NO if
NO if that 7-day average Tranco rank is worse (higher) than 520, or if anthropic.com is unranked on any of those days.
Expected resolution by
25%
▼ 11 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:20 PM UTC | 25% | 1012 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:15 PM UTC | 23% | 1012 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 4:31 PM UTC | 21% | 990 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC | 27% | 968 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:06 AM UTC | 26% | 946 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 6:36 AM UTC | 28% | 924 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:42 AM UTC | 24% | 924 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:46 AM UTC | 25% | 902 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC | 23% | 902 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:58 PM UTC | 22% | 902 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:17 PM UTC | 21% | 880 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:49 AM UTC | 27% | 858 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:42 AM UTC | 24% | 836 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:14 AM UTC | 18% | 814 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:05 AM UTC | 22% | 792 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:32 PM UTC | 24% | 792 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:43 PM UTC | 22% | 792 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:07 PM UTC | 24% | 770 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:52 AM UTC | 22% | 748 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:34 AM UTC | 23% | 748 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:25 AM UTC | 29% | 726 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC | 19% | 704 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:47 PM UTC | 18% | 682 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC | 21% | 660 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:44 PM UTC | 28% | 638 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:06 PM UTC | 27% | 616 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC | 22% | 616 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:33 AM UTC | 24% | 594 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:39 AM UTC | 24% | 572 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:06 AM UTC | 25% | 572 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:34 PM UTC | 22% | 550 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:28 PM UTC | 30% | 528 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:41 PM UTC | 33% | 528 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:07 AM UTC | 32% | 506 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:19 AM UTC | 33% | 484 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:57 AM UTC | 27% | 462 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:11 AM UTC | 36% | 462 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 39% | 440 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC | 39% | 440 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 7:33 PM UTC | 40% | 418 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:59 PM UTC | 34% | 396 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:18 PM UTC | 40% | 374 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:44 AM UTC | 32% | 352 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 5:36 AM UTC | 32% | 330 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC | 33% | 308 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:33 PM UTC | 30% | 286 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:46 PM UTC | 31% | 264 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 5:23 PM UTC | 27% | 242 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:22 PM UTC | 28% | 220 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 10:00 AM UTC | 33% | 198 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:02 AM UTC | 36% | 198 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:39 AM UTC | 37% | 176 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:32 AM UTC | 35% | 176 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:50 PM UTC | 33% | 154 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 6:03 PM UTC | 26% | 132 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:10 PM UTC | 28% | 110 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:11 PM UTC | 30% | 88 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:05 AM UTC | 34% | 66 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:33 AM UTC | 29% | 44 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 2:10 AM UTC | 36% | 22 |
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