Deadline (Closes in 18 days)
79%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
28%
Set at open
1,265
920 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 62,000,000 downloads of the @anthropic-ai/sdk package in total for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 62,000,000 downloads of @anthropic-ai/sdk for 2026-11-02 through 2026-11-08 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
79%
▲ 40 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC | 79% | 920 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 7:54 PM UTC | 75% | 920 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:44 PM UTC | 70% | 897 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 12:44 PM UTC | 77% | 874 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:47 AM UTC | 73% | 874 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:23 AM UTC | 72% | 851 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:31 AM UTC | 74% | 828 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC | 74% | 828 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:01 PM UTC | 69% | 828 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 3:32 PM UTC | 77% | 805 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:09 PM UTC | 76% | 805 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 7:50 AM UTC | 72% | 805 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:45 AM UTC | 78% | 782 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 1:44 AM UTC | 80% | 782 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC | 80% | 782 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 6:55 PM UTC | 76% | 782 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC | 72% | 782 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 10:52 AM UTC | 77% | 759 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:56 AM UTC | 81% | 736 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 4:05 AM UTC | 78% | 736 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:57 AM UTC | 74% | 736 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 9:36 PM UTC | 71% | 713 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 6:32 PM UTC | 72% | 690 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 2:22 PM UTC | 66% | 667 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:32 AM UTC | 67% | 644 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:22 AM UTC | 71% | 621 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC | 77% | 598 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 11:49 PM UTC | 72% | 598 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 9:26 PM UTC | 67% | 575 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:48 PM UTC | 64% | 552 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 2:07 PM UTC | 63% | 529 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:52 AM UTC | 56% | 506 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 6:51 AM UTC | 48% | 483 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 3:42 AM UTC | 51% | 460 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 43% | 460 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 11:42 PM UTC | 43% | 460 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC | 39% | 437 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:24 PM UTC | 27% | 414 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:02 PM UTC | 30% | 391 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:16 AM UTC | 32% | 368 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:59 AM UTC | 29% | 345 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:21 AM UTC | 33% | 322 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:30 PM UTC | 31% | 299 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:55 PM UTC | 27% | 299 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:53 PM UTC | 28% | 276 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 1:10 PM UTC | 33% | 253 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:40 AM UTC | 30% | 230 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 6:16 AM UTC | 35% | 207 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 3:01 AM UTC | 27% | 184 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:40 PM UTC | 33% | 161 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:22 PM UTC | 34% | 138 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 3:36 PM UTC | 35% | 115 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC | 29% | 92 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 9:27 AM UTC | 30% | 69 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:37 AM UTC | 33% | 46 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:48 AM UTC | 39% | 23 |
AI safety and research company