Deadline (Closes in 4 days)
81%
Updated 4d ago
N/A
Not yet available
46%
Set at open
1,232
1,122 forecasters
Resolves YES if
YES if the npm downloads API reports at least 54,000,000 downloads of the @anthropic-ai/sdk package in total for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Resolves NO if
NO if the npm downloads API reports fewer than 54,000,000 downloads of @anthropic-ai/sdk for 2026-10-19 through 2026-10-25 (UTC).
Expected resolution by
81%
▲ 43 pts since open
| Recorded | Market probability | Forecasters |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026, 10:20 PM UTC | 81% | 1122 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 8:13 PM UTC | 78% | 1100 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 3:48 PM UTC | 84% | 1078 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 1:05 PM UTC | 81% | 1056 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 9:14 AM UTC | 84% | 1034 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 5:38 AM UTC | 87% | 1012 |
| Oct 10, 2026, 2:59 AM UTC | 84% | 990 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 11:28 PM UTC | 83% | 968 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 6:54 PM UTC | 80% | 946 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 4:41 PM UTC | 84% | 924 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 12:41 PM UTC | 85% | 902 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC | 82% | 880 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 5:51 AM UTC | 79% | 858 |
| Oct 9, 2026, 2:17 AM UTC | 75% | 836 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 11:23 PM UTC | 70% | 814 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 7:30 PM UTC | 79% | 814 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 3:37 PM UTC | 75% | 792 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 12:37 PM UTC | 76% | 770 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 9:32 AM UTC | 71% | 748 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 5:52 AM UTC | 77% | 726 |
| Oct 8, 2026, 2:45 AM UTC | 73% | 704 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 10:52 PM UTC | 72% | 704 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 7:11 PM UTC | 81% | 704 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 3:40 PM UTC | 77% | 682 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 12:44 PM UTC | 77% | 660 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 8:27 AM UTC | 75% | 638 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 5:36 AM UTC | 79% | 616 |
| Oct 7, 2026, 1:56 AM UTC | 76% | 594 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC | 72% | 572 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 7:35 PM UTC | 66% | 550 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 4:23 PM UTC | 60% | 528 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:48 PM UTC | 52% | 528 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 8:39 AM UTC | 49% | 506 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 5:13 AM UTC | 39% | 484 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 1:35 AM UTC | 36% | 462 |
| Oct 6, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC | 32% | 440 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 10:51 PM UTC | 32% | 440 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 6:59 PM UTC | 37% | 418 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 3:12 PM UTC | 42% | 418 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 12:39 PM UTC | 35% | 396 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 9:15 AM UTC | 42% | 374 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 4:54 AM UTC | 50% | 352 |
| Oct 5, 2026, 2:24 AM UTC | 45% | 330 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 11:18 PM UTC | 46% | 308 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 7:22 PM UTC | 45% | 286 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:03 PM UTC | 44% | 264 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 12:21 PM UTC | 39% | 242 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 9:22 AM UTC | 42% | 220 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 4:50 AM UTC | 44% | 198 |
| Oct 4, 2026, 2:39 AM UTC | 46% | 176 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 11:13 PM UTC | 46% | 154 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 7:39 PM UTC | 46% | 132 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC | 39% | 110 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 12:46 PM UTC | 47% | 88 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 8:26 AM UTC | 42% | 66 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 5:55 AM UTC | 40% | 44 |
| Oct 3, 2026, 1:43 AM UTC | 39% | 22 |
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